The Bottleneck Supercycle: Tracking AI Capex Dispersion Beyond the GPU

The generative AI gold rush is entering a structural transition. While Nvidia continues to command the spotlight, smart money is rotating out of pure-play silicon and into the physical bottlenecks of the AI scaling law. As hyper-scale capital expenditure (Capex) accelerates globally, hardware choke points are moving upstream into high-barrier secondary and tertiary suppliers. From advanced packaging metrology and external laser sources (ELS) to high-speed optical transceivers and glass substrate materials, the core battleground is no longer raw compute—it is interconnect density, power delivery, and thermal efficiency. This tracker maps every high-conviction thesis from Serenity's verified public disclosures.

480
Serenity Tracked Tickers
425
Priced & Mapped Symbols
36
Core Bottleneck Charts
2026-05-31
Analysis Cutoff Date

💡 Three Pillars of Signal Quality Interpretation

  • Focus on systemic bottleneck identification rather than synthetic portfolio matching; any mention or conviction rating is not actionable investment advice.
  • Rigorous source filtering: we only include records verified directly back to an @aleabitoreddit X status; all third-party context has been purged.
  • Many tracked symbols are small-cap, foreign-listed, or illiquid equities. Real-world execution, currency friction, and local brokerage access require independent validation.
  • Historical return calculations are benchmarked from the earliest verified social mention close, serving as a signal quality metric rather than model portfolio results.

Structural Classification: Separating High-Conviction Longs from Noise

In a universe of hundreds of social mentions, simple chronological listing is ineffective. By combining FollowSerenity's position lifecycles with the narrative conviction in Serenity's original posts, we apply an institutional filtering framework. This classification helps investors bypass market noise, immediately focusing on core capital-deployed longs while clearly flagging toxic dilution risks.

Top picks

Explicit buy/own/high-conviction long language with an open thesis.

6
AAOI+394.1%
High conviction · Open · 2025-12-12

Increased bullishness on AAOI due to laser bottlenecks, potential long-term supply agreements with NVDA/AMD, and projected massive revenue ramp in H1 2027, despite near-term ATM overhang.

COHR+119.2%
High conviction · Open · 2025-12-02

Photonics supply chain entering supercycle with CPO as compelling theme; rotated from LITE/COHR into SIVE for greater upside.

LPK+222.2%
High conviction · Open · 2026-01-19

Post presents bullish theses on four photonics/advanced packaging plays: SIVE (CW laser supplier, expected to become next LITE), LPK (glass substrates, pure exposure, upcoming volume ramp), AAOI (largest US photonics supply chain, 1.6T wave), IQE (critical epiwafer supplier, bottlenecked, undervalued). All are long-term holds due to the photonics supercycle and AI scaling.

LPKFF+204.6%
High conviction · Open · 2026-01-18

LPK earnings confirm volume ramp for glass core substrates starting H2 2026, not included in forecasts, making the earnings objectively terrible but actually positive for future growth.

NBIS+114.4%
High conviction · Open · 2025-09-23

AI capex growth to $3-$4 trillion annually by 2030 will benefit companies controlling key AI buildout components: photonics, silicon photonics, laser chokepoints, epiwafer supply chains, neoclouds, and memory.

SIVE+836.2%
High conviction · Open · 2026-03-16

SIVE has extreme pricing power with 60% gross margins, compared to LITE's ~45-48%, and is at the early stage of a CPO supercycle with exponentially growing revenue pipelines.

Highest conviction

High-conviction, clearly constructive theses without the strongest ownership language.

21
322310n/a
High conviction · Open · 2026-05-01

Auros is an undervalued Samsung/SK Hynix supplier with pure-play exposure to HBM4 metrology and thin-film measurement, expecting volume ramp in H2 2025.

6315-11.0%
High conviction · Open · 2026-05-11

TOWA's performance will grow in H2 2025; market overreacted to earnings, leading to a recovery opportunity.

ARM+124.9%
High conviction · Open · 2026-03-25

Bullish on Arm's dominant positioning as all major hyper-scalers (Nvidia, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta) build proprietary CPUs on the Arm architecture, complemented by reports of ByteDance building its own Arm CPU.

ASTS+201.8%
High conviction · Open · 2025-09-10

The space economy is reaching a monetization inflection point in 2026. A complete structural ecosystem has formed across RKLB, LUNR, RDW, ASTS, and PL, driving massive long-term value capture.

CAMT+19.5%
High conviction · Open · 2026-01-23

VIAV and FORM earnings beat strongly, indicating robust demand for memory/test/yield equipment, which is bullish for upstream inspection and test companies like ONTO, CAMT, TOWA, KEYS, and potentially downstream optics players.

CRWD+43.7%
High conviction · Open · 2025-10-13

Security software is AI-benefited, not damaged; the sector is a strong investment as AI increases attack surfaces and security needs.

FORM+70.2%
High conviction · Open · 2026-01-23

Both FORM and ONTO are strong investments as the semiconductor ecosystem is accelerating rapidly.

GFS+84.9%
High conviction · Open · 2026-03-17

CPO names are incredibly bullish due to a massive supply-demand imbalance confirmed by $LITE CEO, with CPO scaling still in early stages.

KEYS+17.7%
High conviction · Open · 2026-03-17

VIAV and FORM earnings beat strongly, indicating robust demand for memory/test/yield equipment, which is bullish for upstream inspection and test companies like ONTO, CAMT, TOWA, KEYS, and potentially downstream optics players.

LPKKn/a
High conviction · Open · 2026-04-21

LPKF is a key enabler for glass core substrates via LIDE technology, with 80% market share among major players, clean balance sheet, and compelling forward P/E, positioning it for significant upside as glass core roadmaps accelerate.

LUNR+334.0%
High conviction · Open · 2025-09-25

Space economy plays are benefiting from LEO satellite and lunar transport scaling. Companies like RKLB, LUNR, RDW, ASTS, and PL are seeing structural backlog growth.

NET+40.4%
High conviction · Open · 2026-02-27

Security software is AI-benefited, not damaged; the sector is a strong investment as AI increases attack surfaces and security needs.

ONTO+21.9%
High conviction · Open · 2026-01-23

Both FORM and ONTO are strong investments as the semiconductor ecosystem is accelerating rapidly.

PL+235.3%
High conviction · Open · 2025-10-12

Space economy plays are capturing LEO Earth observation data scaling, creating high-margin subscription opportunities for satellite data pure-plays.

7 more in the appendix

Constructive support

Constructive logic, but with medium/low conviction or less direct expression.

79
SHUNSIN+50.2%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-04-25

NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote is a major catalyst that should be heavily bullish for the Taiwan optical ecosystem, including Shunsin, Foci, Nextronics, and MSScorps.

FOCI+8.6%
Low conviction · Open · 2026-03-20

FOCI and MSS are small Taiwanese companies expected to benefit from TSMC's CPO and silicon photonics developments, though institutional interest may be overhyped.

XFAB-10.3%
Low conviction · Open · 2026-05-27

Current bullish thesis on XFAB at $9, implied by track record of past successful European equity longs.

011790n/a
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-05-07

Bullish on SKC and HB Technologies for glass core substrates play. SKC is a leader with CHIPS Act funding and bottoming copper foil/EV drag, while HB offers lower risk with automated optical inspection and yield importance.

078150n/a
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-05-07

Bullish on SKC and HB Technologies for glass core substrates play. SKC is a leader with CHIPS Act funding and bottoming copper foil/EV drag, while HB offers lower risk with automated optical inspection and yield importance.

3105+19.8%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-04-08

Several Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.

6451+20.0%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-04-13

Several Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.

6830-15.2%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-04-14

Several Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.

6961-27.6%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-04-15

Enplas holds chokepoints in MLAs and IC test sockets, benefiting from AI photonics and chip testing demand. Strong financials with no debt and high equity ratio. New products at OFC for 800Gbps/1.6Tbps and CPO provide catalysts.

8147+1.3%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-05-11

Several Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.

AAPL+18.3%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-02-16

October macro tailwinds (seasonality, rate cuts, government shutdown dip buying opportunity) create bullish setup for high growth stocks like NBIS, RKLB, and seasonal beneficiaries AMZN, AAPL, LULU.

AEHR+239.6%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-02-03

Algorithms are tying $SIVE, $AAOI, and $AEHR to $LITE as the sector leader, causing them to rise together following LITE's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 and subsequent inflow.

AIXA+111.0%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-02-27

ALMU and quantum dot lasers are too early; instead, machine suppliers like ALRIB, VECO, and AIXA are better positioned to benefit from capex R&D cycles in photonics and AI supply chains.

ALMU+0.6%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-01-14

Quantum dot names like ALMU are too early stage, likely leading to dilution for R&D, similar to POET in 2025. Prefer to wait for volume ramp.

AMAT+47.6%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-01-13

AI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.

AMD+121.6%
Medium conviction · Open · 2025-10-09

AI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.

63 more in the appendix

Mentioned / watch

Appears in a theme, list, or comparison without a clear recommendation.

346
HXSCLn/a
High conviction · Open · 2025-11-05

Memory blockbusters are locking up capacity, revenues, and risk allocations through long-term supply agreements (LTAs), flattening the semiconductor cycle.

MRVL+129.3%
High conviction · Open · 2025-10-12

Marvell's datacenter portfolio is expanding rapidly with consecutive guidance raises, driven by custom ASIC design wins and high-speed interconnect pull-through in active partnerships with Nvidia.

000660.KS+179.1%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-03-08

The rally in KOSPI/EWY is driven by fundamental memory price hikes from SK Hynix and Samsung, with NAND prices increasing 100%+ in Q1 and another 100% in Q2 against analyst projections, leading to record FCF and sustainable rally.

005930+68.4%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-03-06

NAND flash price hikes by Samsung and likely others far exceed analyst expectations, implying massive upside for memory companies.

005930.KS+146.7%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-01-02

The rally in KOSPI/EWY is driven by fundamental memory price hikes from SK Hynix and Samsung, with NAND prices increasing 100%+ in Q1 and another 100% in Q2 against analyst projections, leading to record FCF and sustainable rally.

3105.TWO+37.8%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-03-27

Win Semi is a sleeper pick; its $5.4B price tag undersells its importance to robotics, space, and AI hyperscaler supply chains.

5210-36.4%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-02-24

Yamamura glass is undervalued: market cap $240M vs $500M sales and $360M+ book value, with fast-growing photonics division (91% Y/Y) and dividend increase to 5.5% signaling structural value unlock.

6451.TW+20.0%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-04-13

The stock is undervalued with low forward multiples and is de-risked as a Foxconn optical packaging subsidiary, with potential 3x-4x upside.

ACLS+65.1%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-01-23

Memory supercycle supply chain beneficiaries: US sleeper HBM4/Memory alpha picks benefiting from MU and SK Hynix/Samsung.

ADEA+34.2%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-01-22

Memory supercycle supply chain beneficiaries: US sleeper HBM4/Memory alpha picks benefiting from MU and SK Hynix/Samsung.

AEVA+117.8%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-02-10

SIVE is the key supplier of CW lasers for AEVA's FMCW LiDAR, which is critical for 4D Physical AI and humanoids, with LG's investment in AEVA validating the technology.

AIXXF+98.4%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-03-01

Second-order effects from $AAOI earnings indicate extreme demand for MBE/MOCVD reactors and epiwafers, benefiting upstream players like $IQE, $VECO, $AIXXF, and $AXTI as hyperscalers drive a capex cycle.

AMBA+5.0%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-01-16

Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.

ANET+17.0%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-01-23

Google's massive capex increase signals accelerating AI infrastructure spend, benefiting AI supply chain companies.

APPL+18.3%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-02-16

Apple stock typically crashes after product launches, followed by panic selling, then buybacks drive a recovery.

ASEn/a
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-04-05

Taiwan CPO testing bottlenecks for silicon photonics in AI data centers create opportunity for test and alignment equipment providers like FORM, KEYS, ASE, ATEYY, and AEHR.

ATEYY+19.2%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-04-06

Taiwan CPO testing bottlenecks for silicon photonics in AI data centers create opportunity for test and alignment equipment providers like FORM, KEYS, ASE, ATEYY, and AEHR.

BA+1.3%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-01-03

US invasion of Venezuela creates investment opportunities in fertilizer stocks (CF, CVE) due to disruption of heavy sour, ammonia, and nitrogen fertilizers; dirty crude processing (VLO) benefits from heavy crude sourcing; naval warfare technology (LDOS) gains from blockades; defense and aerospace (AVAV, HII, LHX) benefit from maritime surveillance; direct suppliers of military operations (BA, RTX, HON) also profit.

328 more in the appendix

Caution / negative

Bearish, relatively negative, or mainly used as a risk warning.

28
BOT+18.4%
High conviction · Open · 2026-05-13

The $2B effective ATM and current marketcap to NAV ratio are problematic for $BOT.

IREN+118.3%
High conviction · Open · 2025-08-31

IREN has structurally capped upside due to excessive toxic dilution; AAOI outperformed IREN significantly over the same period.

POET+89.1%
High conviction · Open · 2025-12-12

Post argues that FOCI is undervalued compared to POET, highlighting FOCI's critical role as bottleneck for CPO volume ramp and main supplier to TSM and NVDA, expecting outperformance once institutions discover it.

SLNH-32.5%
High conviction · Open · 2025-09-28

SLNH is garbage for equity appreciation due to massive dilution of $1B on a $219M market cap.

ASST+116.0%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-02-17

The author warns against $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST due to excessive dilution from ATMs, leading to significant losses for retail investors.

BKKT-40.0%
High conviction · Dormant · 2025-07-03

The author warns against $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST due to excessive dilution from ATMs, leading to significant losses for retail investors.

FISV-13.8%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-01-02

A comprehensive set of stock ratings for 2026, focusing on recovery plays from tax-loss harvesting and sector tailwinds in AI, semiconductors, data centers, and defense, while avoiding overvalued quantum and retail names.

SOITEC+246.1%
High conviction · Dormant · 2026-03-11

AVGO CEO's comments delaying CPO are misinterpreted; CPO delay extends life of pluggable transceivers, bullish for AAOI, bearish for Soitec.

TSSI-41.3%
High conviction · Dormant · 2025-07-03

A comprehensive set of stock ratings for 2026, focusing on recovery plays from tax-loss harvesting and sector tailwinds in AI, semiconductors, data centers, and defense, while avoiding overvalued quantum and retail names.

LWLG+53.4%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-03-12

No-revenue R&D partnership between LWLG and TSEM with massive dilution vote from 45m to 95m shares in 2-3 weeks. Author is negative on LWLG due to dilution and lack of revenue.

MTSI+84.6%
Medium conviction · Open · 2026-01-10

Long-term bullish on MTSI due to involvement as an investor and clearing debt, with 45M locked up indicating stability; short-term bearish risk from arbitrageurs in convertible note offering.

AKAM+75.7%
Medium conviction · Dormant · 2026-01-01

Overview of 10 thematic investments for 2026, focusing on evolution, disruption, and bottlenecks in soft robotics, silicon photonics (InP bottleneck), glass substrates, money movement (disruption to card networks), AI cloud layers, LLM cybersecurity, LEO space infrastructure, consumer agentic workflows, distributed computing latency, and copper interconnect life extension. Expresses bullish views on specific companies and bearish on incumbent payment networks Visa and Bank of America.

16 more in the appendix

Quantitative Bottleneck Analysis: Tracking the Core Optical Pioneers

We plot the price performance charts of key high-conviction active equities (such as SIVE, AAOI, LPK, FOCI, and XFAB). Each mention marker is locked to the original X status timestamp and matched against historical daily close data to ensure rigorous quantitative signal verification.

AAOI
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. · AAOI
+394.1%
Open High conviction Top picks
AAOI price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-12-12
First Mention
32.06
First Price
+394.1%
Return

First mention: 2025-12-12 at 32.06 · Current: 158.41 · Return: +394.1%

Increased bullishness on AAOI due to laser bottlenecks, potential long-term supply agreements with NVDA/AMD, and projected massive revenue ramp in H1 2027, despite near-term ATM overhang.

COHR
COHR
Coherent, Inc. · COHR
+119.2%
Open High conviction Top picks
COHR price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-12-02
First Mention
164.89
First Price
+119.2%
Return

First mention: 2025-12-02 at 164.89 · Current: 361.47 · Return: +119.2%

Photonics supply chain entering supercycle with CPO as compelling theme; rotated from LITE/COHR into SIVE for greater upside.

LPK
LPK
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG · LPK.DE
+222.2%
Open High conviction Top picks
LPK price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-01-19
First Mention
6.86
First Price
+222.2%
Return

First mention: 2026-01-19 at 6.86 · Current: 22.1 · Return: +222.2%

Post presents bullish theses on four photonics/advanced packaging plays: SIVE (CW laser supplier, expected to become next LITE), LPK (glass substrates, pure exposure, upcoming volume ramp), AAOI (largest US photonics supply chain, 1.6T wave), IQE (critical epiwafer supplier, bottlenecked, undervalued). All are long-term holds due to the photonics supercycle and AI scaling.

LPKF
LPKFF
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG · LPKFF
+204.6%
Open High conviction Top picks
LPKFF price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-01-18
First Mention
8.3
First Price
+204.6%
Return

First mention: 2026-01-18 at 8.3 · Current: 25.28 · Return: +204.6%

LPK earnings confirm volume ramp for glass core substrates starting H2 2026, not included in forecasts, making the earnings objectively terrible but actually positive for future growth.

NBIS
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V. · NBIS
+114.4%
Open High conviction Top picks
NBIS price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-09-23
First Mention
107.80
First Price
+114.4%
Return

First mention: 2025-09-23 at 107.80 · Current: 231.09 · Return: +114.4%

AI capex growth to $3-$4 trillion annually by 2030 will benefit companies controlling key AI buildout components: photonics, silicon photonics, laser chokepoints, epiwafer supply chains, neoclouds, and memory.

SIVE
SIVE
Sivers Semiconductors AB (publ) · SIVE.ST
+836.2%
Open High conviction Top picks
SIVE price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-03-16
First Mention
7.365
First Price
+836.2%
Return

First mention: 2026-03-16 at 7.365 · Current: 68.95 · Return: +836.2%

SIVE has extreme pricing power with 60% gross margins, compared to LITE's ~45-48%, and is at the early stage of a CPO supercycle with exponentially growing revenue pipelines.

3223
322310
322310 · 322310
n/a
Open High conviction Highest conviction
322310 price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-05-01
First Mention
price unavailable
First Price
n/a
Return

First mention: 2026-05-01 at price unavailable · Current: price unavailable · Return: n/a

Auros is an undervalued Samsung/SK Hynix supplier with pure-play exposure to HBM4 metrology and thin-film measurement, expecting volume ramp in H2 2025.

6315
6315
TOWA Corporation · 6315.T
-11.0%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
6315 price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-05-11
First Mention
3,375.00
First Price
-11.0%
Return

First mention: 2026-05-11 at 3,375.00 · Current: 3,005.00 · Return: -11.0%

TOWA's performance will grow in H2 2025; market overreacted to earnings, leading to a recovery opportunity.

ARM
ARM
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares · ARM
+124.9%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
ARM price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-03-25
First Mention
157.07
First Price
+124.9%
Return

First mention: 2026-03-25 at 157.07 · Current: 353.29 · Return: +124.9%

Bullish on Arm's dominant positioning as all major hyper-scalers (Nvidia, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta) build proprietary CPUs on the Arm architecture, complemented by reports of ByteDance building its own Arm CPU.

ASTS
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. · ASTS
+201.8%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
ASTS price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-09-10
First Mention
37.58
First Price
+201.8%
Return

First mention: 2025-09-10 at 37.58 · Current: 113.41 · Return: +201.8%

The space economy is reaching a monetization inflection point in 2026. A complete structural ecosystem has formed across RKLB, LUNR, RDW, ASTS, and PL, driving massive long-term value capture.

CAMT
CAMT
Camtek Ltd. · CAMT
+19.5%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
CAMT price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-01-23
First Mention
143.63
First Price
+19.5%
Return

First mention: 2026-01-23 at 143.63 · Current: 171.66 · Return: +19.5%

VIAV and FORM earnings beat strongly, indicating robust demand for memory/test/yield equipment, which is bullish for upstream inspection and test companies like ONTO, CAMT, TOWA, KEYS, and potentially downstream optics players.

CRWD
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. · CRWD
+43.7%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
CRWD price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-10-13
First Mention
508.61
First Price
+43.7%
Return

First mention: 2025-10-13 at 508.61 · Current: 731.00 · Return: +43.7%

Security software is AI-benefited, not damaged; the sector is a strong investment as AI increases attack surfaces and security needs.

FORM
FORM
FormFactor, Inc. · FORM
+70.2%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
FORM price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-01-23
First Mention
73.2
First Price
+70.2%
Return

First mention: 2026-01-23 at 73.2 · Current: 124.59 · Return: +70.2%

Both FORM and ONTO are strong investments as the semiconductor ecosystem is accelerating rapidly.

GFS
GFS
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. · GFS
+84.9%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
GFS price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-03-17
First Mention
43.25
First Price
+84.9%
Return

First mention: 2026-03-17 at 43.25 · Current: 79.97 · Return: +84.9%

CPO names are incredibly bullish due to a massive supply-demand imbalance confirmed by $LITE CEO, with CPO scaling still in early stages.

KEYS
KEYS
Keysight Technologies, Inc. · KEYS
+17.7%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
KEYS price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-03-17
First Mention
287.38
First Price
+17.7%
Return

First mention: 2026-03-17 at 287.38 · Current: 338.33 · Return: +17.7%

VIAV and FORM earnings beat strongly, indicating robust demand for memory/test/yield equipment, which is bullish for upstream inspection and test companies like ONTO, CAMT, TOWA, KEYS, and potentially downstream optics players.

LPKK
LPKK
LPKK · LPKK
n/a
Open High conviction Highest conviction
LPKK price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-04-21
First Mention
price unavailable
First Price
n/a
Return

First mention: 2026-04-21 at price unavailable · Current: price unavailable · Return: n/a

LPKF is a key enabler for glass core substrates via LIDE technology, with 80% market share among major players, clean balance sheet, and compelling forward P/E, positioning it for significant upside as glass core roadmaps accelerate.

LUNR
LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc. · LUNR
+334.0%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
LUNR price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-09-25
First Mention
10.1
First Price
+334.0%
Return

First mention: 2025-09-25 at 10.1 · Current: 43.83 · Return: +334.0%

Space economy plays are benefiting from LEO satellite and lunar transport scaling. Companies like RKLB, LUNR, RDW, ASTS, and PL are seeing structural backlog growth.

NET
NET
Cloudflare, Inc. · NET
+40.4%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
NET price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-02-27
First Mention
172.19
First Price
+40.4%
Return

First mention: 2026-02-27 at 172.19 · Current: 241.82 · Return: +40.4%

Security software is AI-benefited, not damaged; the sector is a strong investment as AI increases attack surfaces and security needs.

ONTO
ONTO
Onto Innovation Inc. · ONTO
+21.9%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
ONTO price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-01-23
First Mention
211.88
First Price
+21.9%
Return

First mention: 2026-01-23 at 211.88 · Current: 258.24 · Return: +21.9%

Both FORM and ONTO are strong investments as the semiconductor ecosystem is accelerating rapidly.

PL
PL
Planet Labs PBC · PL
+235.3%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
PL price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-10-12
First Mention
15.25
First Price
+235.3%
Return

First mention: 2025-10-12 at 15.25 · Current: 51.14 · Return: +235.3%

Space economy plays are capturing LEO Earth observation data scaling, creating high-margin subscription opportunities for satellite data pure-plays.

RDW
RDW
Redwire Corporation · RDW
+53.7%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
RDW price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-07-03
First Mention
15.99
First Price
+53.7%
Return

First mention: 2025-07-03 at 15.99 · Current: 24.57 · Return: +53.7%

Space and defense infrastructure beneficiary, delivering satellite systems, solar arrays, and structural payloads for commercial space stations.

RPI
RPI
RPI · RPI
n/a
Open High conviction Highest conviction
RPI price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-02-16
First Mention
price unavailable
First Price
n/a
Return

First mention: 2026-02-16 at price unavailable · Current: price unavailable · Return: n/a

Media slander against $RPI was incorrect; earnings beat expectations, validating the bullish thesis.

SMTC
SMTC
Semtech Corporation · SMTC
+89.4%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
SMTC price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-01-23
First Mention
80.52
First Price
+89.4%
Return

First mention: 2026-01-23 at 80.52 · Current: 152.54 · Return: +89.4%

Semtech is well-positioned in data center optical and copper interconnect solutions with strong product leadership and capacity expansion, driving growth.

SNDK
SNDK
Sandisk Corporation · SNDK
+668.7%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
SNDK price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-11-25
First Mention
220.50
First Price
+668.7%
Return

First mention: 2025-11-25 at 220.50 · Current: 1,694.98 · Return: +668.7%

AI capex growth to $3-$4 trillion annually by 2030 will benefit companies controlling key AI buildout components: photonics, silicon photonics, laser chokepoints, epiwafer supply chains, neoclouds, and memory.

TSEM
TSEM
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. · TSEM
+89.8%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
TSEM price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-02-11
First Mention
134.44
First Price
+89.8%
Return

First mention: 2026-02-11 at 134.44 · Current: 255.23 · Return: +89.8%

Photonics stocks are early in a supercycle with significant upside remaining.

TSM
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · TSM
+66.8%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
TSM price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-09-09
First Mention
250.92
First Price
+66.8%
Return

First mention: 2025-09-09 at 250.92 · Current: 418.45 · Return: +66.8%

Recent semiconductor developments indicate bullish opportunities across multiple tickers: Intel benefits from Apple shift, Micron from memory tightness and price increases, TSM from revenue growth, NBIS from compute demand, LPK from glass substrate acceleration, and SanDisk from NAND price rise.

WDC
WDC
Western Digital Corporation · WDC
+87.0%
Open High conviction Highest conviction
WDC price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-02-15
First Mention
284.11
First Price
+87.0%
Return

First mention: 2026-02-15 at 284.11 · Current: 531.21 · Return: +87.0%

Memory and NAND flash manufacturers are rewriting the cycle logic by securing long-term capacity agreements (LTAs) with AI hyperscalers, stabilizing prices and driving massive margin expansion.

SHUN
SHUNSIN
ShunSin Technology Holdings Limited · 6451.TW
+50.2%
Open Medium conviction Constructive support
SHUNSIN price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-04-25
First Mention
379.50
First Price
+50.2%
Return

First mention: 2026-04-25 at 379.50 · Current: 570.00 · Return: +50.2%

NVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote is a major catalyst that should be heavily bullish for the Taiwan optical ecosystem, including Shunsin, Foci, Nextronics, and MSScorps.

FOCI
FOCI
FOCI Fiber Optic Communications, Inc. · 3363.TWO
+8.6%
Open Low conviction Constructive support
FOCI price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-03-20
First Mention
734.00
First Price
+8.6%
Return

First mention: 2026-03-20 at 734.00 · Current: 797.00 · Return: +8.6%

FOCI and MSS are small Taiwanese companies expected to benefit from TSMC's CPO and silicon photonics developments, though institutional interest may be overhyped.

XFAB
XFAB
XFAB.PA · XFAB.PA
-10.3%
Open Low conviction Constructive support
XFAB price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-05-27
First Mention
12
First Price
-10.3%
Return

First mention: 2026-05-27 at 12 · Current: 10.76 · Return: -10.3%

Current bullish thesis on XFAB at $9, implied by track record of past successful European equity longs.

HXSC
HXSCL
HXSCL · HXSCL
n/a
Open High conviction Mentioned / watch
HXSCL price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-11-05
First Mention
price unavailable
First Price
n/a
Return

First mention: 2025-11-05 at price unavailable · Current: price unavailable · Return: n/a

Memory blockbusters are locking up capacity, revenues, and risk allocations through long-term supply agreements (LTAs), flattening the semiconductor cycle.

MRVL
MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc. · MRVL
+129.3%
Open High conviction Mentioned / watch
MRVL price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-10-12
First Mention
89.39
First Price
+129.3%
Return

First mention: 2025-10-12 at 89.39 · Current: 205.00 · Return: +129.3%

Marvell's datacenter portfolio is expanding rapidly with consecutive guidance raises, driven by custom ASIC design wins and high-speed interconnect pull-through in active partnerships with Nvidia.

BOT
BOT
RoboStrategy, Inc. Common Stock · BOT
+18.4%
Open High conviction Caution / negative
BOT price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2026-05-13
First Mention
21.01
First Price
+18.4%
Return

First mention: 2026-05-13 at 21.01 · Current: 24.88 · Return: +18.4%

The $2B effective ATM and current marketcap to NAV ratio are problematic for $BOT.

IREN
IREN
IREN Limited · IREN
+118.3%
Open High conviction Caution / negative
IREN price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-08-31
First Mention
29.11
First Price
+118.3%
Return

First mention: 2025-08-31 at 29.11 · Current: 63.54 · Return: +118.3%

IREN has structurally capped upside due to excessive toxic dilution; AAOI outperformed IREN significantly over the same period.

POET
POET
POET Technologies Inc. · POET
+89.1%
Open High conviction Caution / negative
POET price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-12-12
First Mention
6.5
First Price
+89.1%
Return

First mention: 2025-12-12 at 6.5 · Current: 12.29 · Return: +89.1%

Post argues that FOCI is undervalued compared to POET, highlighting FOCI's critical role as bottleneck for CPO volume ramp and main supplier to TSM and NVDA, expecting outperformance once institutions discover it.

SLNH
SLNH
Soluna Holdings, Inc. · SLNH
-32.5%
Open High conviction Caution / negative
SLNH price chart with first Serenity mention marker
2025-09-28
First Mention
2.52
First Price
-32.5%
Return

First mention: 2025-09-28 at 2.52 · Current: 1.7 · Return: -32.5%

SLNH is garbage for equity appreciation due to massive dilution of $1B on a $219M market cap.

Representative Themes & Structural Theses

1. SIVE / AAOI / LPK / COHR / FOCI: The Optical Interconnect & CPO Supercycle

On the eve of mass Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) deployment, light source packaging and advanced interposers face deep supply deficits. Sivers (SIVE), as a pure-play InP CW laser supplier, commands extreme pricing power with 60% gross margins—vastly outperforming traditional transceiver packagers. Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is uniquely geared to AWS's rapid 400G/800G transition. LPKF (LPK/LPKFF) holds a near-monopoly on Laser Induced Deep Etching (LIDE) for glass core substrates, directly capturing the Advanced Packaging roadmap. This cluster highlights that the greatest cash flow accrues to upstream hardware layers that are virtually impossible to design out.

2. SHUNSIN / FOCI / 6451.TW / 3363.TWO: High-Torque, High-Beta Taiwan Supply Chain Alpha

Taiwan's hardware ecosystem is a structural force multiplier under TSMC's CoWoS and silicon photonics roadmaps. ShunSin (6451.TW), FOCI (3363.TWO), and Nextronics have massive torque: each TSMC earnings call or Nvidia keynote acts as a potent valuation catalyst. However, because these names are small-cap, low-liquidity assets heavily traded by retail, investors must plan for significant slippage, execution friction, and post-event volatility.

3. IREN / NBIS / PL / RDW: The Capex Spillover into Infrastructure, Power, & LEO Aerospace

Exponential compute Capex is driving systemic resource scarcity. Nebius (NBIS) stands out with its highly coveted GPU allocations and massive neocloud buildouts, offering transparent cash-flow runways. Beyond local power grid bottlenecks, space-based communications and low-earth orbit (LEO) infrastructure (like ASTS, RKLB, RDW, and LUNR) are reaching a commercial tipping point in 2026. These aerospace names offer tremendous torque but present highly divergent balance-sheet, order book, and dilution risk profiles.

4. CRWD / NET: Cybersecurity as the Stable Infrastructure Protector Sleeve

The rapid dispersion of cloud and AI hardware exponentially expands the global corporate threat surface. Cybersecurity leaders like Cloudflare (NET) and CrowdStrike (CRWD) are not AI victims; they are the ultimate beneficiaries of hardware infrastructure expansion. While they lack the highly explosive beta of small-cap hardware plays, their high ARR stickiness and predictable cash flows provide an excellent defensive hedge in a Capex cycle.

Full Appendix: Verified Serenity Mentions Database

This appendix strictly excludes any entries lacking a verified primary X link. Foreign-listed assets or symbols lacking standard market price feeds display as price unavailable, maintaining absolute database integrity over speculative placeholders.

TickerTierMapped symbolStatusConvictionThesis summaryFirst mentionEntry priceCurrent priceReturnSource
AAOITop picksAAOIOpenHigh convictionIncreased bullishness on AAOI due to laser bottlenecks, potential long-term supply agreements with NVDA/AMD, and projected massive revenue ramp in H1 2027, despite near-term ATM overhang.2025-12-1232.06158.41+394.1%X sourceMirror
COHRTop picksCOHROpenHigh convictionPhotonics supply chain entering supercycle with CPO as compelling theme; rotated from LITE/COHR into SIVE for greater upside.2025-12-02164.89361.47+119.2%X sourceMirror
LPKTop picksLPK.DEOpenHigh convictionPost presents bullish theses on four photonics/advanced packaging plays: SIVE (CW laser supplier, expected to become next LITE), LPK (glass substrates, pure exposure, upcoming volume ramp), AAOI (largest US photonics supply chain, 1.6T wave), IQE (critical epiwafer supplier, bottlenecked, undervalued). All are long-term holds due to the photonics supercycle and AI scaling.2026-01-196.8622.1+222.2%X sourceMirror
LPKFFTop picksLPKFFOpenHigh convictionLPK earnings confirm volume ramp for glass core substrates starting H2 2026, not included in forecasts, making the earnings objectively terrible but actually positive for future growth.2026-01-188.325.28+204.6%X sourceMirror
NBISTop picksNBISOpenHigh convictionAI capex growth to $3-$4 trillion annually by 2030 will benefit companies controlling key AI buildout components: photonics, silicon photonics, laser chokepoints, epiwafer supply chains, neoclouds, and memory.2025-09-23107.80231.09+114.4%X sourceMirror
SIVETop picksSIVE.STOpenHigh convictionSIVE has extreme pricing power with 60% gross margins, compared to LITE's ~45-48%, and is at the early stage of a CPO supercycle with exponentially growing revenue pipelines.2026-03-167.36568.95+836.2%X sourceMirror
322310Highest conviction322310OpenHigh convictionAuros is an undervalued Samsung/SK Hynix supplier with pure-play exposure to HBM4 metrology and thin-film measurement, expecting volume ramp in H2 2025.2026-05-01price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
6315Highest conviction6315.TOpenHigh convictionTOWA's performance will grow in H2 2025; market overreacted to earnings, leading to a recovery opportunity.2026-05-113,375.003,005.00-11.0%X sourceMirror
ARMHighest convictionARMOpenHigh convictionBullish on Arm's dominant positioning as all major hyper-scalers (Nvidia, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta) build proprietary CPUs on the Arm architecture, complemented by reports of ByteDance building its own Arm CPU.2026-03-25157.07353.29+124.9%X sourceMirror
ASTSHighest convictionASTSOpenHigh convictionThe space economy is reaching a monetization inflection point in 2026. A complete structural ecosystem has formed across RKLB, LUNR, RDW, ASTS, and PL, driving massive long-term value capture.2025-09-1037.58113.41+201.8%X sourceMirror
CAMTHighest convictionCAMTOpenHigh convictionVIAV and FORM earnings beat strongly, indicating robust demand for memory/test/yield equipment, which is bullish for upstream inspection and test companies like ONTO, CAMT, TOWA, KEYS, and potentially downstream optics players.2026-01-23143.63171.66+19.5%X sourceMirror
CRWDHighest convictionCRWDOpenHigh convictionSecurity software is AI-benefited, not damaged; the sector is a strong investment as AI increases attack surfaces and security needs.2025-10-13508.61731.00+43.7%X sourceMirror
FORMHighest convictionFORMOpenHigh convictionBoth FORM and ONTO are strong investments as the semiconductor ecosystem is accelerating rapidly.2026-01-2373.2124.59+70.2%X sourceMirror
GFSHighest convictionGFSOpenHigh convictionCPO names are incredibly bullish due to a massive supply-demand imbalance confirmed by $LITE CEO, with CPO scaling still in early stages.2026-03-1743.2579.97+84.9%X sourceMirror
KEYSHighest convictionKEYSOpenHigh convictionVIAV and FORM earnings beat strongly, indicating robust demand for memory/test/yield equipment, which is bullish for upstream inspection and test companies like ONTO, CAMT, TOWA, KEYS, and potentially downstream optics players.2026-03-17287.38338.33+17.7%X sourceMirror
LPKKHighest convictionLPKKOpenHigh convictionLPKF is a key enabler for glass core substrates via LIDE technology, with 80% market share among major players, clean balance sheet, and compelling forward P/E, positioning it for significant upside as glass core roadmaps accelerate.2026-04-21price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
LUNRHighest convictionLUNROpenHigh convictionSpace economy plays are benefiting from LEO satellite and lunar transport scaling. Companies like RKLB, LUNR, RDW, ASTS, and PL are seeing structural backlog growth.2025-09-2510.143.83+334.0%X sourceMirror
NETHighest convictionNETOpenHigh convictionSecurity software is AI-benefited, not damaged; the sector is a strong investment as AI increases attack surfaces and security needs.2026-02-27172.19241.82+40.4%X sourceMirror
ONTOHighest convictionONTOOpenHigh convictionBoth FORM and ONTO are strong investments as the semiconductor ecosystem is accelerating rapidly.2026-01-23211.88258.24+21.9%X sourceMirror
PLHighest convictionPLOpenHigh convictionSpace economy plays are capturing LEO Earth observation data scaling, creating high-margin subscription opportunities for satellite data pure-plays.2025-10-1215.2551.14+235.3%X sourceMirror
RDWHighest convictionRDWOpenHigh convictionSpace and defense infrastructure beneficiary, delivering satellite systems, solar arrays, and structural payloads for commercial space stations.2025-07-0315.9924.57+53.7%X sourceMirror
RPIHighest convictionRPIOpenHigh convictionMedia slander against $RPI was incorrect; earnings beat expectations, validating the bullish thesis.2026-02-16price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
SMTCHighest convictionSMTCOpenHigh convictionSemtech is well-positioned in data center optical and copper interconnect solutions with strong product leadership and capacity expansion, driving growth.2026-01-2380.52152.54+89.4%X sourceMirror
SNDKHighest convictionSNDKOpenHigh convictionAI capex growth to $3-$4 trillion annually by 2030 will benefit companies controlling key AI buildout components: photonics, silicon photonics, laser chokepoints, epiwafer supply chains, neoclouds, and memory.2025-11-25220.501,694.98+668.7%X sourceMirror
TSEMHighest convictionTSEMOpenHigh convictionPhotonics stocks are early in a supercycle with significant upside remaining.2026-02-11134.44255.23+89.8%X sourceMirror
TSMHighest convictionTSMOpenHigh convictionRecent semiconductor developments indicate bullish opportunities across multiple tickers: Intel benefits from Apple shift, Micron from memory tightness and price increases, TSM from revenue growth, NBIS from compute demand, LPK from glass substrate acceleration, and SanDisk from NAND price rise.2025-09-09250.92418.45+66.8%X sourceMirror
WDCHighest convictionWDCOpenHigh convictionMemory and NAND flash manufacturers are rewriting the cycle logic by securing long-term capacity agreements (LTAs) with AI hyperscalers, stabilizing prices and driving massive margin expansion.2026-02-15284.11531.21+87.0%X sourceMirror
SHUNSINConstructive support6451.TWOpenMedium convictionNVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote is a major catalyst that should be heavily bullish for the Taiwan optical ecosystem, including Shunsin, Foci, Nextronics, and MSScorps.2026-04-25379.50570.00+50.2%X sourceMirror
FOCIConstructive support3363.TWOOpenLow convictionFOCI and MSS are small Taiwanese companies expected to benefit from TSMC's CPO and silicon photonics developments, though institutional interest may be overhyped.2026-03-20734.00797.00+8.6%X sourceMirror
XFABConstructive supportXFAB.PAOpenLow convictionCurrent bullish thesis on XFAB at $9, implied by track record of past successful European equity longs.2026-05-271210.76-10.3%X sourceMirror
HXSCLMentioned / watchHXSCLOpenHigh convictionMemory blockbusters are locking up capacity, revenues, and risk allocations through long-term supply agreements (LTAs), flattening the semiconductor cycle.2025-11-05price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
MRVLMentioned / watchMRVLOpenHigh convictionMarvell's datacenter portfolio is expanding rapidly with consecutive guidance raises, driven by custom ASIC design wins and high-speed interconnect pull-through in active partnerships with Nvidia.2025-10-1289.39205.00+129.3%X sourceMirror
BOTCaution / negativeBOTOpenHigh convictionThe $2B effective ATM and current marketcap to NAV ratio are problematic for $BOT.2026-05-1321.0124.88+18.4%X sourceMirror
IRENCaution / negativeIRENOpenHigh convictionIREN has structurally capped upside due to excessive toxic dilution; AAOI outperformed IREN significantly over the same period.2025-08-3129.1163.54+118.3%X sourceMirror
POETCaution / negativePOETOpenHigh convictionPost argues that FOCI is undervalued compared to POET, highlighting FOCI's critical role as bottleneck for CPO volume ramp and main supplier to TSM and NVDA, expecting outperformance once institutions discover it.2025-12-126.512.29+89.1%X sourceMirror
SLNHCaution / negativeSLNHOpenHigh convictionSLNH is garbage for equity appreciation due to massive dilution of $1B on a $219M market cap.2025-09-282.521.7-32.5%X sourceMirror
011790Constructive support011790OpenMedium convictionBullish on SKC and HB Technologies for glass core substrates play. SKC is a leader with CHIPS Act funding and bottoming copper foil/EV drag, while HB offers lower risk with automated optical inspection and yield importance.2026-05-07price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
078150Constructive support078150OpenMedium convictionBullish on SKC and HB Technologies for glass core substrates play. SKC is a leader with CHIPS Act funding and bottoming copper foil/EV drag, while HB offers lower risk with automated optical inspection and yield importance.2026-05-07price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
3105Constructive support3105.TWOOpenMedium convictionSeveral Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.2026-04-08440.00527.00+19.8%X sourceMirror
6451Constructive support6451.TWOpenMedium convictionSeveral Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.2026-04-13475.00570.00+20.0%X sourceMirror
6830Constructive support6830.TWOpenMedium convictionSeveral Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.2026-04-14800.00678.00-15.2%X sourceMirror
6961Constructive support6961.TOpenMedium convictionEnplas holds chokepoints in MLAs and IC test sockets, benefiting from AI photonics and chip testing demand. Strong financials with no debt and high equity ratio. New products at OFC for 800Gbps/1.6Tbps and CPO provide catalysts.2026-04-1516,660.0012,070.00-27.6%X sourceMirror
8147Constructive support8147.TOpenMedium convictionSeveral Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.2026-05-111,215.001,231.00+1.3%X sourceMirror
AAPLConstructive supportAAPLOpenMedium convictionOctober macro tailwinds (seasonality, rate cuts, government shutdown dip buying opportunity) create bullish setup for high growth stocks like NBIS, RKLB, and seasonal beneficiaries AMZN, AAPL, LULU.2026-02-16263.88312.06+18.3%X sourceMirror
AEHRConstructive supportAEHROpenMedium convictionAlgorithms are tying $SIVE, $AAOI, and $AEHR to $LITE as the sector leader, causing them to rise together following LITE's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 and subsequent inflow.2026-02-0327.1992.33+239.6%X sourceMirror
AIXAConstructive supportAIXA.DEOpenMedium convictionALMU and quantum dot lasers are too early; instead, machine suppliers like ALRIB, VECO, and AIXA are better positioned to benefit from capex R&D cycles in photonics and AI supply chains.2026-02-2727.658.24+111.0%X sourceMirror
ALMUConstructive supportALMUOpenMedium convictionQuantum dot names like ALMU are too early stage, likely leading to dilution for R&D, similar to POET in 2025. Prefer to wait for volume ramp.2026-01-1421.4621.58+0.6%X sourceMirror
AMATConstructive supportAMATOpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-01-13304.87450.06+47.6%X sourceMirror
AMDConstructive supportAMDOpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2025-10-09232.89516.10+121.6%X sourceMirror
AMSCConstructive supportAMSCOpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-04-2346.1550.94+10.4%X sourceMirror
AMZNConstructive supportAMZNOpenMedium convictionAmazon is underrated in robotics due to immediate practical upside from lowering opex and headcount via automation; Tesla and other general purpose robotics companies should also perform well.2025-09-26219.78270.64+23.1%X sourceMirror
ASMLConstructive supportASMLOpenMedium convictionMultiple bullish signals in semiconductor and foundry sector: ASML and TSM have good earnings outlook, UMC has price hike for foundry, Taiwan OSATs like Shunsin (6451) are long due to demand outstripping supply.2025-12-051,099.471,612.76+46.7%X sourceMirror
ASXConstructive supportASXOpenMedium convictionAMD's $10B+ investment into Taiwan ecosystem is bullish for Taiwan supply chain participants, particularly ASX and SANM as collaborators and ODM partners.2026-01-2519.8338.35+93.4%X sourceMirror
ATKRConstructive supportATKROpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-04-2271.3282.81+16.1%X sourceMirror
AUROSConstructive supportAUROSOpenMedium convictionAuros is positioned for higher upside due to involvement in SK Hynix/Samsung HBM4 hybrid bonding roadmaps with ~$280m revenue; Towa is a monopolistic compounder in the same space.2026-05-06price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
AVAVConstructive supportAVAVOpenMedium convictionTrump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1.1B program targeting 300k attack drones by 2027. Multiple companies across direct beneficiaries and supply chain stand to benefit.2026-01-04297.41207.24-30.3%X sourceMirror
AVGOConstructive supportAVGOOpenMedium conviction1.6T optical modules near mass adoption, with beneficiaries including AAOI (largest 1.6T capacity US pure play), JBL (contrarian long using LRO architecture), SIVE (powers Jabil's LRO, scales laser demand), and AVGO/MRVL as broad beneficiaries.2025-10-15351.33446.77+27.2%X sourceMirror
AXTIConstructive supportAXTIOpenMedium convictionSeveral key monopoly players are highlighted for CPO: MSSCORP, SOI, NGK, and AXTI. SIVE shares a similar logic and has successfully entered top CPO design wins.2025-12-2615.37103.16+571.2%X sourceMirror
DELLConstructive supportDELLOpenMedium convictionDell's valuation was attractive at 22x PE before the surge, indicating potential for further growth driven by profit growth.2025-09-17130.34420.91+222.9%X sourceMirror
DOWConstructive supportDOWOpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-04-2638.133.75-11.4%X sourceMirror
DRAMConstructive supportDRAMOpenMedium convictionLong on $EWY and $DRAM for memory exposure, expecting Samsung and SK Hynix to be highly profitable.2026-04-0329.1663.2+116.7%X sourceMirror
EWYConstructive supportEWYOpenMedium convictionLong on $EWY and $DRAM for memory exposure, expecting Samsung and SK Hynix to be highly profitable.2026-01-13107.54205.83+91.4%X sourceMirror
FLNCConstructive supportFLNCOpenMedium convictionFloat unlock creates psychological overhang for FLNC despite no actual dilution.2025-10-0415.2618.88+23.7%X sourceMirror
GLWConstructive supportGLWOpenMedium convictionGlass core substrates are key for next-gen semiconductor packaging, with GLW leading and commercialization accelerating toward a 2027 inflection point.2026-02-05112.79181.16+60.6%X sourceMirror
HIMSConstructive supportHIMSOpenMedium convictionBullish on TTD, HIMS, and RDDT with specific price targets: TTD 40-50% upside to low 30s, HIMS mean reversion to $40, RDDT recovery to $200+ in better macro.2025-07-0748.4226.15-46.0%X sourceMirror
HIMXConstructive supportHIMXOpenMedium convictionWarning issued on HIMX potential risk of supply chain exclusion from key CPO design pipelines as SIVE and other next-generation alternatives scale.2026-03-149.5620.57+115.2%X sourceMirror
HPS.AConstructive supportHPS.AOpenMedium convictionHPS.A is a compelling compounder in the dry transformer market with high demand visibility, solid backlog, and high market share.2026-04-07price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
HSP.AConstructive supportHSP.AOpenMedium convictionHSP.A has a multi-year bottleneck in DC transformers that will play out over the next year, presenting a bullish opportunity.2026-04-18price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
IBKRConstructive supportIBKROpenMedium convictionInteractive Brokers (IBKR) is gaining retail growth and has best execution, benefiting long-term users.2025-09-1762.3486.97+39.5%X sourceMirror
ICLConstructive supportICLOpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-04-265.546.64+19.9%X sourceMirror
INTCConstructive supportINTCOpenMedium convictionIntel's 18A process is ahead of Samsung's SF2 in geometry control and consistency, based on TEM analysis by Geekerwan.2025-09-2431.22114.68+267.3%X sourceMirror
KLACConstructive supportKLACOpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-01-231,512.781,921.71+27.0%X sourceMirror
KTOSConstructive supportKTOSOpenMedium convictionTrump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1.1B program targeting 300k attack drones by 2027. Multiple companies across direct beneficiaries and supply chain stand to benefit.2026-01-13119.7264.13-46.4%X sourceMirror
KULRConstructive supportKULROpenMedium convictionTrump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1.1B program targeting 300k attack drones by 2027. Multiple companies across direct beneficiaries and supply chain stand to benefit.2026-01-193.794.78+26.1%X sourceMirror
MSFTConstructive supportMSFTOpenMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2026-02-24389.00450.24+15.7%X sourceMirror
MSSCORPConstructive support6830.TWOpenMedium convictionSeveral key monopoly players are highlighted for CPO: MSSCORP, SOI, NGK, and AXTI. SIVE shares a similar logic and has successfully entered top CPO design wins.2026-04-29773.00678.00-12.3%X sourceMirror
MSSCORPSConstructive supportMSSCORPSOpenMedium convictionNVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote is a major catalyst that should be heavily bullish for the Taiwan optical ecosystem, including Shunsin, Foci, Nextronics, and MSScorps.2026-05-04price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
NVDAConstructive supportNVDAOpenMedium convictionCPU supply shortage driving price hikes and capex increases, benefiting CPU makers and foundry.2025-10-04185.54211.14+13.8%X sourceMirror
NVTSConstructive supportNVTSOpenMedium convictionInvesting in American companies like AMSC and NVTS is bullish due to national security and supply chain reshoring themes, supported by government and NVDA involvement.2025-09-186.7326.6+295.2%X sourceMirror
ONDSConstructive supportONDSOpenMedium convictionTrump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1.1B program targeting 300k attack drones by 2027. Multiple companies across direct beneficiaries and supply chain stand to benefit.2025-09-186.613.22+100.3%X sourceMirror
PENGConstructive supportPENGOpenMedium convictionPENG is an integrator like SMCI, DELL, FLNC, not a high-margin semiconductor IP holder, explaining its low P/S ratio.2026-05-1745.7155.83+22.1%X sourceMirror
PLPCConstructive supportPLPCOpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-04-23328.80369.82+12.5%X sourceMirror
POWLConstructive supportPOWLOpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-04-09230.81284.42+23.2%X sourceMirror
RCATConstructive supportRCATOpenMedium convictionTrump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1.1B program targeting 300k attack drones by 2027. Multiple companies across direct beneficiaries and supply chain stand to benefit.2026-01-1413.6614.5+6.1%X sourceMirror
RDDTConstructive supportRDDTOpenMedium convictionRDDT is an extremely profitable growth company but market price hasn't reflected its fundamentals yet.2025-10-03207.20176.00-15.1%X sourceMirror
RKLBConstructive supportRKLBOpenMedium convictionBlue Origin's failure indirectly benefits SpaceX and Rocket Lab due to high barriers and limited stable suppliers2025-07-0335.66143.48+302.4%X sourceMirror
SANMConstructive supportSANMOpenMedium convictionAMD's $10B+ investment into Taiwan ecosystem is bullish for Taiwan supply chain participants, particularly ASX and SANM as collaborators and ODM partners.2026-03-26130.97259.73+98.3%X sourceMirror
SHMDConstructive supportSHMDOpenMedium convictionConditional bullish on SHMD if financing is cleaned up, offsetting dilution overhang concerns.2026-01-017.56.67-11.1%X sourceMirror
SIVEFConstructive supportSIVE.STOpenMedium convictionPrefer $SIVEF or $AAOI over MicroLED and Quantum Dot due to immediate volume ramp in CW space, while MicroLED and QD are years away from volume production.2026-03-167.36568.95+836.2%X sourceMirror
SOIConstructive supportSOI.PAOpenMedium convictionDespite negative European media coverage, $SOI has risen over 340%. The poster implies that shorting frontier companies is misguided and that the stock has growth potential.2026-03-1151.3177.55+246.1%X sourceMirror
TOWAConstructive support6315.TOpenMedium convictionAuros is positioned for higher upside due to involvement in SK Hynix/Samsung HBM4 hybrid bonding roadmaps with ~$280m revenue; Towa is a monopolistic compounder in the same space.2026-04-282,870.003,005.00+4.7%X sourceMirror
UMACConstructive supportUMACOpenMedium convictionTrump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1.1B program targeting 300k attack drones by 2027. Multiple companies across direct beneficiaries and supply chain stand to benefit.2026-01-0815.0931.78+110.6%X sourceMirror
UMCConstructive supportUMCOpenMedium convictionUMC plans selective price increases in 2H 2025 and comprehensive price renegotiations in 2027 to address cost burden from Singapore fab expansion.2026-03-179.5222.18+133.0%X sourceMirror
VECOConstructive supportVECOOpenMedium convictionALMU and quantum dot lasers are too early; instead, machine suppliers like ALRIB, VECO, and AIXA are better positioned to benefit from capex R&D cycles in photonics and AI supply chains.2026-01-2332.3557.64+78.2%X sourceMirror
VIAVConstructive supportVIAVOpenMedium conviction$$FORM and $VIAV are better pure play signals in semiconductor test equipment compared to $TER, which is too large, has non-AI exposure, and faces competition.2026-03-1730.8448.56+57.5%X sourceMirror
VICRConstructive supportVICROpenMedium convictionAI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.2026-01-16149.88334.84+123.4%X sourceMirror
VSHConstructive supportVSHOpenMedium convictionThe Defense Production Act invoked for grid infrastructure will lead to federal contracts benefiting multiple companies in transmission, power electronics, capacitors, substations, transformers, and electrical steel.2026-02-0619.9552.05+160.9%X sourceMirror
XLUConstructive supportXLUOpenMedium convictionUtilities tailwind from rate cuts is nullified by Iran War reducing odds of cuts to zero.2026-02-2146.6844.42-4.8%X sourceMirror
3363Constructive support3363.TWOWatchMedium convictionSeveral Taiwanese stocks are positioned as CPO exposure longs, with potential for growth as photonics scaling and industry events unfold.2026-05-13853.00797.00-6.6%X sourceMirror
AEISConstructive supportAEISWatchMedium convictionThe Defense Production Act invoked for grid infrastructure will lead to federal contracts benefiting multiple companies in transmission, power electronics, capacitors, substations, transformers, and electrical steel.2026-04-23382.47302.18-21.0%X sourceMirror
AZZConstructive supportAZZWatchMedium convictionThe Defense Production Act invoked for grid infrastructure will lead to federal contracts benefiting multiple companies in transmission, power electronics, capacitors, substations, transformers, and electrical steel.2026-04-22134.91135.51+0.4%X sourceMirror
CLFConstructive supportCLFWatchMedium convictionThe Defense Production Act invoked for grid infrastructure will lead to federal contracts benefiting multiple companies in transmission, power electronics, capacitors, substations, transformers, and electrical steel.2026-04-229.513.6+43.2%X sourceMirror
NEXTRONICSConstructive supportNEXTRONICSWatchMedium convictionNVDA June 1 Computex/GTC Taipei keynote is a major catalyst that should be heavily bullish for the Taiwan optical ecosystem, including Shunsin, Foci, Nextronics, and MSScorps.2026-05-18price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
SPXCConstructive supportSPXCWatchMedium convictionThe Defense Production Act invoked for grid infrastructure will lead to federal contracts benefiting multiple companies in transmission, power electronics, capacitors, substations, transformers, and electrical steel.2026-04-22220.62216.66-1.8%X sourceMirror
VMIConstructive supportVMIWatchMedium convictionThe Defense Production Act invoked for grid infrastructure will lead to federal contracts benefiting multiple companies in transmission, power electronics, capacitors, substations, transformers, and electrical steel.2026-04-22466.75519.81+11.4%X sourceMirror
TERConstructive supportTEROpenLow convictionSilicon photonics scaling faces wafer testing bottleneck, benefiting testing companies.2026-01-23229.18374.31+63.3%X sourceMirror
TSLAConstructive supportTSLAOpenLow convictionSpeculative thesis that Tesla and SpaceX may merge into a single entity, potentially benefiting TSLA shareholders through exchange for SpaceX shares.2025-08-26351.67435.79+23.9%X sourceMirror
TTDConstructive supportTTDOpenLow convictionTTD is undervalued given the short-term ChatGPT monetization angle as they move to ads, with a potential mean reversion from $22.2025-12-0439.3521.56-45.2%X sourceMirror
3587Constructive support3587WatchLow convictionSilicon photonics scaling faces wafer testing bottleneck, benefiting testing companies.2026-04-14price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
6223Constructive support6223WatchLow convictionSilicon photonics scaling faces wafer testing bottleneck, benefiting testing companies.2026-04-14price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
6857Constructive support6857WatchLow convictionSilicon photonics scaling faces wafer testing bottleneck, benefiting testing companies.2026-04-14price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
MSSConstructive supportMSSWatchLow convictionFOCI and MSS are small Taiwanese companies expected to benefit from TSMC's CPO and silicon photonics developments, though institutional interest may be overhyped.2026-05-081.250.915-26.8%X sourceMirror
000660.KSMentioned / watch000660.KSDormantHigh convictionThe rally in KOSPI/EWY is driven by fundamental memory price hikes from SK Hynix and Samsung, with NAND prices increasing 100%+ in Q1 and another 100% in Q2 against analyst projections, leading to record FCF and sustainable rally.2026-03-08836,000.002,333,000.00+179.1%X sourceMirror
005930Mentioned / watch005930.KSDormantHigh convictionNAND flash price hikes by Samsung and likely others far exceed analyst expectations, implying massive upside for memory companies.2026-03-06188,200.00317,000.00+68.4%X sourceMirror
005930.KSMentioned / watch005930.KSDormantHigh convictionThe rally in KOSPI/EWY is driven by fundamental memory price hikes from SK Hynix and Samsung, with NAND prices increasing 100%+ in Q1 and another 100% in Q2 against analyst projections, leading to record FCF and sustainable rally.2026-01-02128,500.00317,000.00+146.7%X sourceMirror
3105.TWOMentioned / watch3105.TWODormantHigh convictionWin Semi is a sleeper pick; its $5.4B price tag undersells its importance to robotics, space, and AI hyperscaler supply chains.2026-03-27382.50527.00+37.8%X sourceMirror
5210Mentioned / watch5210.TDormantHigh convictionYamamura glass is undervalued: market cap $240M vs $500M sales and $360M+ book value, with fast-growing photonics division (91% Y/Y) and dividend increase to 5.5% signaling structural value unlock.2026-02-244,020.002,555.00-36.4%X sourceMirror
6451.TWMentioned / watch6451.TWDormantHigh convictionThe stock is undervalued with low forward multiples and is de-risked as a Foxconn optical packaging subsidiary, with potential 3x-4x upside.2026-04-13475.00570.00+20.0%X sourceMirror
ACLSMentioned / watchACLSDormantHigh convictionMemory supercycle supply chain beneficiaries: US sleeper HBM4/Memory alpha picks benefiting from MU and SK Hynix/Samsung.2026-01-2391.12150.41+65.1%X sourceMirror
ADEAMentioned / watchADEADormantHigh convictionMemory supercycle supply chain beneficiaries: US sleeper HBM4/Memory alpha picks benefiting from MU and SK Hynix/Samsung.2026-01-2219.9126.71+34.2%X sourceMirror
AEVAMentioned / watchAEVADormantHigh convictionSIVE is the key supplier of CW lasers for AEVA's FMCW LiDAR, which is critical for 4D Physical AI and humanoids, with LG's investment in AEVA validating the technology.2026-02-1012.9428.18+117.8%X sourceMirror
AIXXFMentioned / watchAIXXFDormantHigh convictionSecond-order effects from $AAOI earnings indicate extreme demand for MBE/MOCVD reactors and epiwafers, benefiting upstream players like $IQE, $VECO, $AIXXF, and $AXTI as hyperscalers drive a capex cycle.2026-03-0134.5268.5+98.4%X sourceMirror
AMBAMentioned / watchAMBADormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2026-01-1668.7372.18+5.0%X sourceMirror
ANETMentioned / watchANETDormantHigh convictionGoogle's massive capex increase signals accelerating AI infrastructure spend, benefiting AI supply chain companies.2026-01-23136.34159.47+17.0%X sourceMirror
APPLMentioned / watchAAPLDormantHigh convictionApple stock typically crashes after product launches, followed by panic selling, then buybacks drive a recovery.2026-02-16263.88312.06+18.3%X sourceMirror
ASEMentioned / watchASEDormantHigh convictionTaiwan CPO testing bottlenecks for silicon photonics in AI data centers create opportunity for test and alignment equipment providers like FORM, KEYS, ASE, ATEYY, and AEHR.2026-04-05price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
ATEYYMentioned / watchATEYYDormantHigh convictionTaiwan CPO testing bottlenecks for silicon photonics in AI data centers create opportunity for test and alignment equipment providers like FORM, KEYS, ASE, ATEYY, and AEHR.2026-04-06138.95165.65+19.2%X sourceMirror
BAMentioned / watchBADormantHigh convictionUS invasion of Venezuela creates investment opportunities in fertilizer stocks (CF, CVE) due to disruption of heavy sour, ammonia, and nitrogen fertilizers; dirty crude processing (VLO) benefits from heavy crude sourcing; naval warfare technology (LDOS) gains from blockades; defense and aerospace (AVAV, HII, LHX) benefit from maritime surveillance; direct suppliers of military operations (BA, RTX, HON) also profit.2026-01-03228.13231.15+1.3%X sourceMirror
BEPCMentioned / watchBEPCDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-1544.3539.98-9.9%X sourceMirror
BLSKYMentioned / watchBLSKYDormantHigh convictionAuthor presents a comprehensive trading plan for rate cut week, recommending longs in neocloud, semiconductors, and select other stocks while selling overvalued quantum, space, and crypto assets. Key macro view: market fear is an ideal entry point ahead of expected rate cut.2025-10-19price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
BOAMentioned / watchBOA.FDormantHigh convictionKevin Warsh as Fed Chair is expected to be bullish for AI/semis (NVDA, MU), crypto (BTC, CRCL), banking (JPM, BOA), small-caps (RUT), and cautious for European stocks (VGK, EZU), based on his pro-AI, pro-deregulation, and rate-cut stance.2026-01-011.461.49+2.1%X sourceMirror
BTCMentioned / watchBTCDormantHigh convictionBitcoin and RKLB are highest conviction assets on a long term timeframe; portfolio allocation into Bitcoin at $73K.2025-07-0348.4132.48-32.9%X sourceMirror
BULLMentioned / watchBULLDormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2025-07-0314.36.4-55.2%X sourceMirror
BZAIMentioned / watchBZAIDormantHigh convictionThe author presents a broad bullish thesis on multiple growth stocks, particularly in AI/data center buildout (neoclouds), energy, and cybersecurity, citing catalysts such as rate cuts, government reopening, and seasonal trends. Key themes include the undervaluation of certain tech stocks after corrections, the importance of TSM as a central supplier, and the potential for re-rating in sectors like nuclear and memory.2025-10-156.291.76-72.0%X sourceMirror
CEGMentioned / watchCEGDormantHigh convictionBullish on $CEG and $VVST due to their independent status giving pricing power, increasing power capacity prices, and AI-driven demand exceeding supply, with major tech companies funding grid expansion.2026-02-15303.01287.75-5.0%X sourceMirror
CIFRMentioned / watchCIFRDormantHigh convictionIREN faces significant dilution (50% of market cap from $6B) and unfavorable risk-reward, while CIFR and NBIS offer better upside due to their models.2025-09-038.1123.65+191.6%X sourceMirror
COPXMentioned / watchCOPXDormantHigh convictionUAMY is an amazing long for antimony as one of the only US players with a $245M sole source contract for stockpiles. COPX is a strong buy for copper exposure.2026-01-2488.0888.14+0.1%X sourceMirror
CRDOMentioned / watchCRDODormantHigh convictionCredo is a core part of AI buildout with strong revenue growth and guidance beat, but long-term risks from photonics transition and loss of leader status.2025-07-2195.74236.03+146.5%X sourceMirror
CREDOMentioned / watchCRDODormantHigh convictionExited long ALAB at $217 (100%+ return in 2 months) and opened a short on ALAB as it appears overbought due to FOMO buying. Hedged with a long position in CREDO, expecting it to play catchup.2025-07-2195.74236.03+146.5%X sourceMirror
CVEMentioned / watchCVEDormantHigh convictionUS invasion of Venezuela creates investment opportunities in fertilizer stocks (CF, CVE) due to disruption of heavy sour, ammonia, and nitrogen fertilizers; dirty crude processing (VLO) benefits from heavy crude sourcing; naval warfare technology (LDOS) gains from blockades; defense and aerospace (AVAV, HII, LHX) benefit from maritime surveillance; direct suppliers of military operations (BA, RTX, HON) also profit.2026-01-0316.6427.57+65.7%X sourceMirror
DMentioned / watchDDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-1565.6566.94+2.0%X sourceMirror
DPROMentioned / watchDPRODormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2025-11-197.157.47+4.5%X sourceMirror
DUOLMentioned / watchDUOLDormantHigh convictionThese software companies have strong network effects, brand recognition, and human-centric moats that make them resistant to AI disruption, presenting buying opportunities amid market fear.2025-09-14285.11111.36-60.9%X sourceMirror
EBAYMentioned / watchEBAYDormantHigh convictionMemory demand is structural with inference bottleneck in storage, not GPUs; Chinese supply glut dead; memory foundries demand 3-year prepayments.2026-02-1679.95109.27+36.7%X sourceMirror
EOSEMentioned / watchEOSEDormantHigh convictionAI capex is exponentially ramping up and flowing directly to neoclouds, connectivity, energy, semi/foundries, and memory stocks, with multiple recent catalysts confirming record growth with no slowdown in sight.2025-11-2513.48.43-37.1%X sourceMirror
ETNMentioned / watchETNDormantHigh convictionThe 1 million job revision signals a permanent structural shift due to AI/automation, not a slowing economy. Corporate profits will explode as companies replace human labor with AI and robotics. Investors should buy AI supply chain equities to hedge against unemployment and benefit from margin expansion.2026-02-15391.49400.60+2.3%X sourceMirror
EZUMentioned / watchEZUDormantHigh convictionKevin Warsh as Fed Chair is expected to be bullish for AI/semis (NVDA, MU), crypto (BTC, CRCL), banking (JPM, BOA), small-caps (RUT), and cautious for European stocks (VGK, EZU), based on his pro-AI, pro-deregulation, and rate-cut stance.2026-02-0167.2768.78+2.2%X sourceMirror
FIGMentioned / watchFIGDormantHigh convictionThese software companies have strong network effects, brand recognition, and human-centric moats that make them resistant to AI disruption, presenting buying opportunities amid market fear.2026-01-2027.7625.5-8.1%X sourceMirror
FLKRMentioned / watchFLKRDormantHigh convictionUse Korean stock ETFs EWY and FLKR for exposure to SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics which are poised to benefit from the memory/foundry mega cycle.2026-01-1335.266.27+88.3%X sourceMirror
FSLRMentioned / watchFSLRDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-15226.05306.79+35.7%X sourceMirror
GEMIMentioned / watchGEMIDormantHigh convictionA comprehensive set of stock ratings for 2026, focusing on recovery plays from tax-loss harvesting and sector tailwinds in AI, semiconductors, data centers, and defense, while avoiding overvalued quantum and retail names.2025-09-2623.845.27-77.9%X sourceMirror
GEVMentioned / watchGEVDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-07801.54968.32+20.8%X sourceMirror
GHMMentioned / watchGHMDormantHigh convictionInvest in Venezuela regime change through distressed debt (ASHM, HLI, LAZ), heavy crude infrastructure (TE, GHM), diluents (TRGP), banking (MVZ.A/B), and energy (CVX, VLO, PSX). Multiple sectors expected to benefit from reconstruction and oil revival.2026-01-0370100.14+43.1%X sourceMirror
GLDMentioned / watchGLDDormantHigh convictionThe post outlines a portfolio of long positions across optical, AI, semiconductors, energy, and other sectors, with specific revenue ramp projections and long-term bets.2026-03-28414.58417.12+0.6%X sourceMirror
GLXYMentioned / watchGLXYDormantHigh convictionCrypto names have been reset after significant drawdowns, institutions are buying, and it's an opportunity to ride the wave back up.2025-10-1341.2329.58-28.3%X sourceMirror
GRABMentioned / watchGRABDormantHigh convictionThe author presents a broad bullish thesis on multiple growth stocks, particularly in AI/data center buildout (neoclouds), energy, and cybersecurity, citing catalysts such as rate cuts, government reopening, and seasonal trends. Key themes include the undervaluation of certain tech stocks after corrections, the importance of TSM as a central supplier, and the potential for re-rating in sectors like nuclear and memory.2025-10-155.923.54-40.2%X sourceMirror
GRZ.VMentioned / watchGRZ.VDormantHigh convictionRegime change in Venezuela unlocks value of distressed assets like gold mines and bonds, making $GRZ.V and $ASHM attractive investments.2026-01-044.576.45+41.1%X sourceMirror
HLIMentioned / watchHLIDormantHigh convictionInvest in Venezuela regime change through distressed debt (ASHM, HLI, LAZ), heavy crude infrastructure (TE, GHM), diluents (TRGP), banking (MVZ.A/B), and energy (CVX, VLO, PSX). Multiple sectors expected to benefit from reconstruction and oil revival.2026-01-03182.60141.66-22.4%X sourceMirror
HONMentioned / watchHONDormantHigh convictionUS invasion of Venezuela creates investment opportunities in fertilizer stocks (CF, CVE) due to disruption of heavy sour, ammonia, and nitrogen fertilizers; dirty crude processing (VLO) benefits from heavy crude sourcing; naval warfare technology (LDOS) gains from blockades; defense and aerospace (AVAV, HII, LHX) benefit from maritime surveillance; direct suppliers of military operations (BA, RTX, HON) also profit.2026-01-03201.09237.86+18.3%X sourceMirror
HUTMentioned / watchHUTDormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2025-09-0327.67124.83+351.1%X sourceMirror
HY9HMentioned / watchHY9HDormantHigh convictionSK Hynix is undervalued compared to Apple based on net income projections, with significant repricing potential.2026-02-03price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
IONQMentioned / watchIONQDormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2025-08-2640.7572.07+76.9%X sourceMirror
KMIMentioned / watchKMIDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-1532.1331.08-3.3%X sourceMirror
KSPIMentioned / watchKSPIDormantHigh convictionKSPI is a fintech growing 47% Y/Y with 31% profit margins and a 7.9 P/E, making it a strong buy at $82 after a 7.2% drop.2025-07-3178.990.4+14.6%X sourceMirror
LAZMentioned / watchLAZDormantHigh convictionInvest in Venezuela regime change through distressed debt (ASHM, HLI, LAZ), heavy crude infrastructure (TE, GHM), diluents (TRGP), banking (MVZ.A/B), and energy (CVX, VLO, PSX). Multiple sectors expected to benefit from reconstruction and oil revival.2026-01-0350.7847.33-6.8%X sourceMirror
LDOSMentioned / watchLDOSDormantHigh convictionUS invasion of Venezuela creates investment opportunities in fertilizer stocks (CF, CVE) due to disruption of heavy sour, ammonia, and nitrogen fertilizers; dirty crude processing (VLO) benefits from heavy crude sourcing; naval warfare technology (LDOS) gains from blockades; defense and aerospace (AVAV, HII, LHX) benefit from maritime surveillance; direct suppliers of military operations (BA, RTX, HON) also profit.2026-01-03195.49127.80-34.6%X sourceMirror
LHXMentioned / watchLHXDormantHigh convictionUS invasion of Venezuela creates investment opportunities in fertilizer stocks (CF, CVE) due to disruption of heavy sour, ammonia, and nitrogen fertilizers; dirty crude processing (VLO) benefits from heavy crude sourcing; naval warfare technology (LDOS) gains from blockades; defense and aerospace (AVAV, HII, LHX) benefit from maritime surveillance; direct suppliers of military operations (BA, RTX, HON) also profit.2026-01-03311.38315.18+1.2%X sourceMirror
LITMentioned / watchLITDormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2026-01-2474.4887.15+17.0%X sourceMirror
MKSIMentioned / watchMKSIDormantHigh convictionMemory supercycle supply chain beneficiaries: US sleeper HBM4/Memory alpha picks benefiting from MU and SK Hynix/Samsung.2026-01-19210.66324.26+53.9%X sourceMirror
MODMentioned / watchMODDormantHigh convictionGoogle's TPU v7 Ironwood supply chain analysis highlights key beneficiaries, with Lumentum as primary beneficiary due to OCS optical switching. Initiating a position in LITE on expected scaling of TPU v7 clusters.2025-12-15142.27278.91+96.0%X sourceMirror
MVZ.AMentioned / watchMVZ.ADormantHigh convictionInvest in Venezuela regime change through distressed debt (ASHM, HLI, LAZ), heavy crude infrastructure (TE, GHM), diluents (TRGP), banking (MVZ.A/B), and energy (CVX, VLO, PSX). Multiple sectors expected to benefit from reconstruction and oil revival.2026-01-03price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
MVZ.BMentioned / watchMVZ.BDormantHigh convictionInvest in Venezuela regime change through distressed debt (ASHM, HLI, LAZ), heavy crude infrastructure (TE, GHM), diluents (TRGP), banking (MVZ.A/B), and energy (CVX, VLO, PSX). Multiple sectors expected to benefit from reconstruction and oil revival.2026-01-03price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
NBCLFMentioned / watch5210.TDormantHigh convictionNitto Boseki holds a monopoly on high-end T-glass essential for AI chip packaging, with demand from major tech companies and supply sold out through 2026.2026-01-233,160.002,555.00-19.1%X sourceMirror
NEEMentioned / watchNEEDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-1592.7187.01-6.1%X sourceMirror
NEOMentioned / watchNEODormantHigh convictionThe post outlines a portfolio of long positions across optical, AI, semiconductors, energy, and other sectors, with specific revenue ramp projections and long-term bets.2026-03-287.210.52+46.1%X sourceMirror
NEXTMentioned / watchNEXTDormantHigh convictionBullish on NEXT as a multi-year LNG play with sold-out capacity and production starting in 2027, and on LNG as a key beneficiary of Iran's actions backstopping global supply.2026-03-298.057.91-1.7%X sourceMirror
NFLXMentioned / watchNFLXDormantHigh convictionThese software companies have strong network effects, brand recognition, and human-centric moats that make them resistant to AI disruption, presenting buying opportunities amid market fear.2025-12-1092.7186.02-7.2%X sourceMirror
NKLRMentioned / watchNKLRDormantHigh convictionThe author presents a broad bullish thesis on multiple growth stocks, particularly in AI/data center buildout (neoclouds), energy, and cybersecurity, citing catalysts such as rate cuts, government reopening, and seasonal trends. Key themes include the undervaluation of certain tech stocks after corrections, the importance of TSM as a central supplier, and the potential for re-rating in sectors like nuclear and memory.2025-10-1517.216.16-64.2%X sourceMirror
NRGMentioned / watchNRGDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-15173.45134.08-22.7%X sourceMirror
NRGVMentioned / watchNRGVDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-153.155.05+60.3%X sourceMirror
NTAPMentioned / watchNTAPDormantHigh convictionMemory demand is structural with inference bottleneck in storage, not GPUs; Chinese supply glut dead; memory foundries demand 3-year prepayments.2026-02-16101.07174.29+72.4%X sourceMirror
PDYNMentioned / watchPDYNDormantHigh convictionPDYN is not a good investment in robotics scale-up because major companies vertically integrate their own software and PDYN has no role as a bottleneck supplier.2026-01-166.758.43+24.9%X sourceMirror
PLABMentioned / watchPLABDormantHigh convictionMemory supercycle supply chain beneficiaries: US sleeper HBM4/Memory alpha picks benefiting from MU and SK Hynix/Samsung.2026-01-1934.4432.35-6.1%X sourceMirror
PSTGMentioned / watchPSTGDormantHigh convictionMemory demand is structural with inference bottleneck in storage, not GPUs; Chinese supply glut dead; memory foundries demand 3-year prepayments.2026-02-1672.6979.51+9.4%X sourceMirror
PWRMentioned / watchPWRDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-07514.56711.73+38.3%X sourceMirror
RBRKMentioned / watchRBRKDormantHigh convictionAuthor presents a comprehensive trading plan for rate cut week, recommending longs in neocloud, semiconductors, and select other stocks while selling overvalued quantum, space, and crypto assets. Key macro view: market fear is an ideal entry point ahead of expected rate cut.2025-10-1383.1978.63-5.5%X sourceMirror
RUTMentioned / watchRUTDormantHigh convictionKevin Warsh as Fed Chair is expected to be bullish for AI/semis (NVDA, MU), crypto (BTC, CRCL), banking (JPM, BOA), small-caps (RUT), and cautious for European stocks (VGK, EZU), based on his pro-AI, pro-deregulation, and rate-cut stance.2026-02-01price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
SEAMentioned / watchSEADormantHigh convictionThe author presents a broad bullish thesis on multiple growth stocks, particularly in AI/data center buildout (neoclouds), energy, and cybersecurity, citing catalysts such as rate cuts, government reopening, and seasonal trends. Key themes include the undervaluation of certain tech stocks after corrections, the importance of TSM as a central supplier, and the potential for re-rating in sectors like nuclear and memory.2025-10-1514.00116.95+21.1%X sourceMirror
SKMentioned / watchSK하이닉스DormantHigh conviction삼성전자와 SK하이닉스의 2026-2027년 순이익이 엄청나며, SK하이닉스의 미국 상장으로 한국 주식에 대한 미국 투자자들의 투자 기회가 증가할 것.2026-02-03price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
SKHMentioned / watchSKHDormantHigh convictionSK Hynix is undervalued despite potential price declines because AI-driven memory demand is structural, leading to record operating profits and cash piles.2026-03-08price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
SKHYNIXMentioned / watch000660.KSDormantHigh convictionCost averaging into SK Hynix as a buying opportunity due to memory's critical role in AI buildout and LNG gap filling by US/Australia/Malaysia.2025-12-10587,000.002,333,000.00+297.4%X sourceMirror
SKYTMentioned / watchSKYTDormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2026-01-0325.1638.98+54.9%X sourceMirror
SSYSMentioned / watchSSYSDormantHigh convictionReaffirms thesis on multiple robotics supply chain stocks, continues to hold and cost average up on AIRO and LPTH as 1-year holds.2026-01-1511.6210.54-9.3%X sourceMirror
STXMentioned / watchSTXDormantHigh convictionMemory demand is structural with inference bottleneck in storage, not GPUs; Chinese supply glut dead; memory foundries demand 3-year prepayments.2025-11-25261.89879.80+235.9%X sourceMirror
SYMMentioned / watchSYMDormantHigh convictionThe 1 million job revision signals a permanent structural shift due to AI/automation, not a slowing economy. Corporate profits will explode as companies replace human labor with AI and robotics. Investors should buy AI supply chain equities to hedge against unemployment and benefit from margin expansion.2026-05-1349.7346.425-6.6%X sourceMirror
TEMentioned / watchTEDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2025-10-204.7610.56+121.8%X sourceMirror
TLNMentioned / watchTLNDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-15388.28386.80-0.4%X sourceMirror
UMentioned / watchUDormantHigh convictionThese software companies have strong network effects, brand recognition, and human-centric moats that make them resistant to AI disruption, presenting buying opportunities amid market fear.2026-02-1029.0630.47+4.9%X sourceMirror
UAMYMentioned / watchUAMYDormantHigh convictionThe Department of Energy explicitly called a Reuters article about UAMY false, which is extremely rare, and the sector sold off 10-20%, suggesting an overreaction and a potential buying opportunity.2025-10-1913.438.98-33.1%X sourceMirror
UAVSMentioned / watchUAVSDormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2026-01-141.691.17-30.8%X sourceMirror
UNHMentioned / watchUNHDormantHigh convictionAuthor presents a comprehensive trading plan for rate cut week, recommending longs in neocloud, semiconductors, and select other stocks while selling overvalued quantum, space, and crypto assets. Key macro view: market fear is an ideal entry point ahead of expected rate cut.2025-07-03308.55380.31+23.3%X sourceMirror
USARMentioned / watchUSARDormantHigh convictionUS rare earths supply is critical for national security, and government funding for unprofitable efforts like USAR and MP is a necessary and positive policy move to secure supply chain sovereignty.2026-01-2626.7228.01+4.8%X sourceMirror
VGKMentioned / watchVGKDormantHigh convictionKevin Warsh as Fed Chair is expected to be bullish for AI/semis (NVDA, MU), crypto (BTC, CRCL), banking (JPM, BOA), small-caps (RUT), and cautious for European stocks (VGK, EZU), based on his pro-AI, pro-deregulation, and rate-cut stance.2026-02-0188.289.01+0.9%X sourceMirror
VRTMentioned / watchVRTDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2025-11-20159.61315.71+97.8%X sourceMirror
VSTMentioned / watchVSTDormantHigh convictionThe 1 million job revision signals a permanent structural shift due to AI/automation, not a slowing economy. Corporate profits will explode as companies replace human labor with AI and robotics. Investors should buy AI supply chain equities to hedge against unemployment and benefit from margin expansion.2025-11-25170.84160.23-6.2%X sourceMirror
VVSTMentioned / watchVVSTDormantHigh convictionBullish on $CEG and $VVST due to their independent status giving pricing power, increasing power capacity prices, and AI-driven demand exceeding supply, with major tech companies funding grid expansion.2026-02-19price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
WLMTMentioned / watchWLMTDormantHigh convictionPersonal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.2026-01-24price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
WMBMentioned / watchWMBDormantHigh convictionOpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.2026-02-1571.9671.39-0.8%X sourceMirror
WYFIMentioned / watchWYFIDormantHigh convictionNeocloud segment stocks are extremely solid buys; $WYFI valuation reset makes it extremely attractive along with $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR, $WULF.2025-09-0918.3929.74+61.7%X sourceMirror
4977Mentioned / watch4977.TOpenMedium convictionPCL Technologies expected to double due to its role in AVGO's photonics ecosystem covering assembly, optical, and testing.2026-04-171,255.001,225.00-2.4%X sourceMirror
6324Mentioned / watch6324.TOpenMedium convictionHarmonic Drive is a Western leader in harmonic reduction gears, which are a large part of robotics/humanoid BOM value. The user prefers to invest in Western supply chains over Chinese alternatives.2026-05-157,100.007,800.00+9.9%X sourceMirror
ALRIBMentioned / watchALRIBOpenMedium convictionStill long ALRIB as machine supplier to MSFT quantum and other quantum dot/silicon photonic applications; at $300M MC may attract institutional attention.2026-04-09price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
ASMCMentioned / watchASM.ASOpenMedium convictionASMC is a beneficiary of the Defense Production Act due to its links to advanced conductors and power control electronics, and also has links to Microsoft for HTS technology.2026-04-22837.60898.40+7.3%X sourceMirror
BABAMentioned / watchBABAOpenMedium convictionChinese government is targeting historical revenues of FUTU and TIGR, and Chinese legal system lacks fairness, making appeals unlikely. Broader Chinese exposure (BABA, PDD) also risky.2026-02-02168.39124.22-26.2%X sourceMirror
BIRDMentioned / watchBIRDOpenMedium convictionPrefers going long on $BIRD over $IREN due to BIRD's pivot into GPU-as-a-Service and AI cloud infrastructure.2026-04-1610.914.12-62.2%X sourceMirror
FUTUMentioned / watchFUTUOpenMedium convictionChinese government is targeting historical revenues of FUTU and TIGR, and Chinese legal system lacks fairness, making appeals unlikely. Broader Chinese exposure (BABA, PDD) also risky.2026-05-2289.76104.07+15.9%X sourceMirror
HBMentioned / watchHBOpenMedium convictionLPK is the favorite exposure in glass core substrates as it supplies to everyone; SKC is the lowest market cap leader; HB may piggyback on SKC's success.2026-05-07price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
HOODMentioned / watchHOODOpenMedium convictionHOOD missed earnings due to misallocation of resources away from enabling international stock trading, losing retail to IBKR.2025-07-31103.0594.3-8.5%X sourceMirror
IQEMentioned / watchIQE.LOpenMedium convictionExpecting IQE to triple or more, but disappointed with current performance; still holding hope.2025-12-30547.5+850.0%X sourceMirror
JBLMentioned / watchJBLOpenMedium conviction1.6T optical modules near mass adoption, with beneficiaries including AAOI (largest 1.6T capacity US pure play), JBL (contrarian long using LRO architecture), SIVE (powers Jabil's LRO, scales laser demand), and AVGO/MRVL as broad beneficiaries.2025-12-02212.05364.56+71.9%X sourceMirror
MUMentioned / watchMUOpenMedium convictionMicron EVP states meaningful memory chip supply will start in late 2027, implying tight supply until then, which could support pricing.2025-10-12192.77971.00+403.7%X sourceMirror
NGKMentioned / watchNGKOpenMedium convictionSeveral key monopoly players are highlighted for CPO: MSSCORP, SOI, NGK, and AXTI. SIVE shares a similar logic and has successfully entered top CPO design wins.2026-05-25price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
NOKMentioned / watchNOKOpenMedium convictionInsider buying by Nokia's Chief Development Officer and other executives suggests confidence in the company's prospects, potentially signaling upcoming strategic moves.2026-02-187.4314.84+99.7%X sourceMirror
PDDMentioned / watchPDDOpenMedium convictionChinese government is targeting historical revenues of FUTU and TIGR, and Chinese legal system lacks fairness, making appeals unlikely. Broader Chinese exposure (BABA, PDD) also risky.2026-05-2294.5284.44-10.7%X sourceMirror
SKCMentioned / watch011790.KSOpenMedium convictionLPK is the favorite exposure in glass core substrates as it supplies to everyone; SKC is the lowest market cap leader; HB may piggyback on SKC's success.2026-01-02103,000.00139,300.00+35.2%X sourceMirror
SSNLFMentioned / watchSSNLFOpenMedium convictionQuestions Samsung's claim of having the best-performing HBM4 after NVIDIA placed additional HBM4 orders with SK Hynix, suggesting Samsung may be losing ground.2026-03-0365.2165.210.0%X sourceMirror
TIGRMentioned / watchTIGROpenMedium convictionChinese government is targeting historical revenues of FUTU and TIGR, and Chinese legal system lacks fairness, making appeals unlikely. Broader Chinese exposure (BABA, PDD) also risky.2026-05-224.365.14+17.9%X sourceMirror
TOWCFMentioned / watch6315.TOpenMedium convictionTOWA is a largely forgotten beneficiary of the new HBM4 memory cycle, with a monopoly in compression molding processes, set to be re-rated due to capex hikes from memory makers.2026-04-302,920.003,005.00+2.9%X sourceMirror
YSSMentioned / watchYSSOpenMedium conviction$$YSS is compelling due to expected expansion of defense budgets into space.2026-05-0131.9732.64+2.1%X sourceMirror
CRBRMentioned / watchCRBRWatchMedium convictionCerebras IPO at $35B with $6-10B ARR is attractive but the core customer being OpenAI introduces risk compared to if it were Google.2026-04-17price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
CRBSMentioned / watchCRBSWatchMedium convictionLikes CRBS as a company but considers the $70B valuation too high to take action.2026-05-14price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
GMEMentioned / watchGMEClosedMedium convictionSold out of GME due to lack of conviction for long-term holding.2025-07-0323.5921.18-10.2%X sourceMirror
GRRRMentioned / watchGRRRClosedMedium convictionPost provides a tier list ranking of neocloud sector stocks based on weighted assessments of contract visibility, macro resilience, balance sheet strength, HPC buildout risk, revenue growth trajectory, and market cap relative to revenue ramp. The sector is compelling but some have higher asymmetrical returns.2025-09-2518.7820.48+9.1%X sourceMirror
0100Mentioned / watch0100DormantMedium convictionOpenClaw trade beneficiaries include Minimax (0100) and Raspberry Pi (RPI), which have risen ~60%. S is worth investigating.2026-02-18price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
2337Mentioned / watch2337DormantMedium convictionMacronix, as the world's largest supplier of NOR flash memory and SLC/MLC NAND, benefits from free price-hike reign on legacy nodes abandoned by Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, driving outperformance.2026-03-17price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
2337.TWOMentioned / watch2337.TWODormantMedium convictionPhison and Macronix are positioned as 'legacy void' plays following Sandisk's pivot to enterprise SSDs and the shift of Samsung/SK Hynix to HBM, leaving a vacuum in legacy NAND supply. Phison benefits from a stockpile of lower-cost NAND for arbitrage, while Macronix increases MLC NAND production to fill the gap.2026-01-30price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
2408Mentioned / watch2408DormantMedium convictionComparative analysis of risk and upside: $MU is less volatile due to geopolitics, while Nanya (2408) offers higher upside due to smaller market cap. Portfolio weighting differs accordingly.2026-01-28price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
3446.TMentioned / watch3446.TDormantMedium convictionJapanese government investing $550B into synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals. Identified likely winners in each sector.2026-02-071,625.001,805.00+11.1%X sourceMirror
4092Mentioned / watch4092.TDormantMedium convictionNCI (Nippon Chemical) is a critical bottleneck in the InP substrate supply chain for photonics, undervalued at 0.54 book value and forward P/E of 11.4, with potential for re-rating.2026-04-143,495.004,870.00+39.3%X sourceMirror
5019.TMentioned / watch5019.TDormantMedium convictionJapanese government investing $550B into synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals. Identified likely winners in each sector.2026-02-071,426.001,398.50-1.9%X sourceMirror
5020.TMentioned / watch5020.TDormantMedium convictionJapanese government investing $550B into synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals. Identified likely winners in each sector.2026-02-071,423.001,305.50-8.3%X sourceMirror
6501.TMentioned / watch6501.TDormantMedium convictionJapanese government investing $550B into synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals. Identified likely winners in each sector.2026-02-075,818.005,166.00-11.2%X sourceMirror
7794.TMentioned / watch7794.TDormantMedium convictionJapanese government investing $550B into synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals. Identified likely winners in each sector.2026-02-071,347.001,149.00-14.7%X sourceMirror
8299.TWOMentioned / watch8299.TWDormantMedium convictionPhison and Macronix are positioned as 'legacy void' plays following Sandisk's pivot to enterprise SSDs and the shift of Samsung/SK Hynix to HBM, leaving a vacuum in legacy NAND supply. Phison benefits from a stockpile of lower-cost NAND for arbitrage, while Macronix increases MLC NAND production to fill the gap.2026-01-30price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
AAMentioned / watchAADormantMedium convictionIran's drone strike on a major UAE aluminum plant disrupts aluminum supply, benefiting aluminum producers like CNEX and AA due to higher prices.2026-01-2658.5577.64+32.6%X sourceMirror
AALMentioned / watchAALDormantMedium convictionSelling puts on individual airliners AAL and DAL short term due to high implied volatility.2026-03-0911.4414.64+28.0%X sourceMirror
ACHRMentioned / watchACHRDormantMedium convictionAndruil awarded a $20B cumulative total contract by the US Department of War, which is positive for its supply chain and integration partners including PLTR, KRKNF, SPIR, and ACHR.2026-03-146.126.81+11.3%X sourceMirror
ACMRMentioned / watchACMRDormantMedium convictionBullish on SIDU (vertically integrated LEO satellite with MDA/NASA contracts), ACMR (becoming China's semi equipment substitute due to bans), and AIRO (drone company expanding into kamikaze and bullet drones with battle-tested credentials).2026-01-1351.3186.56+68.7%X sourceMirror
AIROMentioned / watchAIRODormantMedium convictionUpdate on multiple positions: VPG strong as 'hard carry' from Optimus thesis; AIRO breakeven after drop, thesis unchanged; LPTH down slightly on Germanium fix, long-term pivot unchanged; AVAV good long at $13-14B due to defense contracts scaling.2026-01-029.248.98-2.8%X sourceMirror
ALABMentioned / watchALABDormantMedium convictionALAB selloff is a buying opportunity; CFO departure is immaterial and gross margin compression is due to Amazon deal optics.2025-07-21121.89342.85+181.3%X sourceMirror
ALGMMentioned / watchALGMDormantMedium convictionThe post presents a research summary of US robotics supply chain companies, highlighting exposure to humanoid and industrial robotics from players like Boston Dynamics and Optimus. The author is personally invested in SYSS and LPTH as bottleneck plays, and identifies several other tickers as potential beneficiaries. The overall thesis is bullish on robotics inflection in 2026-2027.2026-01-1633.3547.87+43.5%X sourceMirror
ALMMentioned / watchALMDormantMedium convictionChina's export controls on critical materials like tungsten, indium, gallium, germanium are driving supply chain panic and price surges, benefiting companies like ALM and AXTI.2026-01-2611.5819.66+69.8%X sourceMirror
AMKRMentioned / watchAMKRDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2025-10-2032.2869.56+115.5%X sourceMirror
AMTBMentioned / watchAMTBDormantMedium convictionPost-regime change in Venezuela, if Defense Minister accepts amnesty, it's a buy signal for companies like $ASHM (Venezuelan debt holder), $GHM/$MVZ.B (vacuum ejectors for crude, banks), $ENR/$AMTB (reconstruction beneficiaries), and $SU (substitute during collapse). $CVX faces asset risks.2026-01-0320.5222.72+10.7%X sourceMirror
APLDMentioned / watchAPLDDormantMedium convictionElon Musk's $134B lawsuit against OpenAI poses downside risk to AI stocks levered to OpenAI (AMD, CRWV, ORCL, MSFT, APLD, CORZ, RIOT) in worst-case scenario, but author expects middle ground with a large fine and MSFT stepping in, limiting contagion.2025-09-1819.9147.28+137.5%X sourceMirror
ASANMentioned / watchASANDormantMedium convictionUPWK has better risk/reward profile than ASAN due to balance sheet and profitability, although UPWK has high profit margins but no revenue growth. ASAN may improve but is not a clear buy.2025-09-1814.377.7-46.4%X sourceMirror
ASHMMentioned / watchASHM.LDormantMedium convictionHow to profit from US invasion of Venezuela and regime change through a basket of stocks.2026-01-03187.00208.00+11.2%X sourceMirror
ATIMentioned / watchATIDormantMedium convictionThe US government's executive order to seize InP supply chain assets reaffirms the InP bottleneck thesis, with short/medium term no impact but long term positive for AXTI and increased bottleneck severity for ATI.2026-01-17123.28175.16+42.1%X sourceMirror
BEMentioned / watchBEDormantMedium convictionThe energy/power/grid sector will be a massive theme starting in 2026 as AI inference and training require gigawatt-scale data centers. Bloom Energy ($BE) is a large beneficiary and likely at the center of this theme.2025-10-0486.97285.00+227.7%X sourceMirror
BESIYMentioned / watchBESIYDormantMedium convictionHybrid bonding is crucial for advanced packaging, making BESIY a good long based on supply chain importance, though it may not see extreme growth like $AAOI.2026-03-13212.20331.00+56.0%X sourceMirror
BITFMentioned / watchBITFDormantMedium convictionPost provides a tier list ranking of neocloud sector stocks based on weighted assessments of contract visibility, macro resilience, balance sheet strength, HPC buildout risk, revenue growth trajectory, and market cap relative to revenue ramp. The sector is compelling but some have higher asymmetrical returns.2025-09-183.25.68+77.5%X sourceMirror
BKRMentioned / watchBKRDormantMedium convictionTrump likely to subsidize US oil firms operating in Venezuela, benefiting Chevron, refiners processing Venezuelan crude, and service companies repairing pipelines. This reduces capex risk and is bullish for these companies.2026-01-0649.3863.88+29.4%X sourceMirror
BKSYMentioned / watchBKSYDormantMedium convictionBlacksky (BKSY) is a fundamentally poor company, but it is industry-adjacent to space/satellite companies like Planet Labs, Rocket Lab, and Redwire that recently spiked. BKSY had not yet moved and was expected to catch up, which it did.2025-07-0321.4848.47+125.7%X sourceMirror
BMBLMentioned / watchBMBLDormantMedium convictionEach listed ticker is a moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns in 5 years based on current valuations and specified target market caps.2025-08-316.13.17-48.0%X sourceMirror
BMNRMentioned / watchBMNRDormantMedium convictionOriginal thesis to acquire 5% of ETH supply and compound returns undermined by redirecting $200M to a YouTuber's chocolate bar company.2025-09-1553.1119.27-63.7%X sourceMirror
BTBTMentioned / watchBTBTDormantMedium convictionObserving early divergence among HPC miners and Neocloud stocks; margin differences being priced in due to full-stack margin focus by Neocloud leaders.2025-10-313.662.02-44.8%X sourceMirror
BWXTMentioned / watchBWXTDormantMedium convictionClaims $DJT is a silent winner after the TAE merger, and plans to look at $BWXT as other beneficiary.2026-01-28216.30195.88-9.4%X sourceMirror
CFMentioned / watchCFDormantMedium convictionHow to profit from US invasion of Venezuela and regime change through a basket of stocks.2026-01-0380.26112.35+40.0%X sourceMirror
CLSMentioned / watchCLSDormantMedium convictionPost-Fed rate cut analysis provides stock ratings with explanations: Strong Buy on stablecoin, semi, and growth plays; Buy on AI infrastructure and select recovery plays; Avoid on overvalued or fundamental-less stocks.2025-10-29337.77385.39+14.1%X sourceMirror
CLSKMentioned / watchCLSKDormantMedium convictionPost provides a tier list ranking of neocloud sector stocks based on weighted assessments of contract visibility, macro resilience, balance sheet strength, HPC buildout risk, revenue growth trajectory, and market cap relative to revenue ramp. The sector is compelling but some have higher asymmetrical returns.2025-09-039.4418.29+93.8%X sourceMirror
CNEXMentioned / watchCNEXDormantMedium convictionIran's drone strike on a major UAE aluminum plant disrupts aluminum supply, benefiting aluminum producers like CNEX and AA due to higher prices.2026-03-28price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
CODAMentioned / watchCODADormantMedium convictionIranian sea mines threat could drive investor attention and defense contracts to underwater defense companies $KRKNF, $OPTT, and $CODA.2026-03-1016.7612.54-25.2%X sourceMirror
COINMentioned / watchCOINDormantMedium convictionLong term disruption of card networks and interchange by USDC and crypto platforms like Circle and Coinbase, evidenced by AI agent settlements in USDC, leading to negative impact on V, MA, PYPL.2025-09-17320.56189.03-41.0%X sourceMirror
CPOMentioned / watchCPODormantMedium convictionInstitutional investors' next rotation is into external light source technology for optics, focusing on companies like CPO, MTSI, and Furukawa Electric.2026-03-30price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
CPSHMentioned / watchCPSHDormantMedium convictionCPSH has multiple sole-source contracts for defense applications (Army, Navy, helicopter armor) with potential for commercialization in AI-related uses.2026-01-305.349.02+68.9%X sourceMirror
CRCLMentioned / watchCRCLDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2025-07-03188.77113.00-40.1%X sourceMirror
CRMLMentioned / watchCRMLDormantMedium convictionCRML is a beneficiary due to Tanbreez rare earth deposits, making it a great investment as a hedge against tariff-driven market drops.2026-01-2017.1711.2-34.8%X sourceMirror
CRWVMentioned / watchCRWVDormantMedium convictionCompanies in the Neocloud segment that have already secured capacity and component orders, such as NBIS and CRWV, are likely to be major winners as hyperscaler buildout delays cause competition to stall.2025-07-21124.91109.53-12.3%X sourceMirror
CVXMentioned / watchCVXDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2026-01-04163.85182.46+11.4%X sourceMirror
CXVMentioned / watchCXVDormantMedium convictionUS takeover of Venezuela will be wildly beneficial for CXV over time.2026-01-05price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
DALMentioned / watchDALDormantMedium convictionSelling puts on individual airliners AAL and DAL short term due to high implied volatility.2026-03-0960.5882.48+36.2%X sourceMirror
DGDXMentioned / watchDG.MIDormantMedium convictionPost provides a tier list ranking of neocloud sector stocks based on weighted assessments of contract visibility, macro resilience, balance sheet strength, HPC buildout risk, revenue growth trajectory, and market cap relative to revenue ramp. The sector is compelling but some have higher asymmetrical returns.2025-11-22price unavailable89.83n/aX sourceMirror
DJTMentioned / watchDJTDormantMedium convictionClaims $DJT is a silent winner after the TAE merger, and plans to look at $BWXT as other beneficiary.2025-07-2818.799.31-50.5%X sourceMirror
DKNGMentioned / watchDKNGDormantMedium convictionDraftKings' 7% drop is unwarranted due to rare earths restrictions and tariffs because it has no exposure to China; the company is still growing and the drop is a buying opportunity.2025-10-1133.5824.49-27.1%X sourceMirror
DOCNMentioned / watchDOCNDormantMedium convictionBullish on DOCN with a price target of $225 in 1 year, driven by AI cloud pivot and Microsoft deal.2025-10-0337.37155.95+317.3%X sourceMirror
DOWAMentioned / watch5714.TDormantMedium convictionHyperscalers will likely go upstream to source InP feedstock from companies like $AXTI, $DOWA, and others, bypassing $COHR which is bottlenecked by InP laser supply and upstream feedstock, making upstream InP producers the key beneficiaries.2025-12-297,578.0010,300.00+35.9%X sourceMirror
EDPMentioned / watchEDPDormantMedium convictionJapanese government investing $550B into synthetic diamonds for semis, gas power for data centers, and deepwater oil terminals. Identified likely winners in each sector.2026-02-07price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
ENRMentioned / watchENRDormantMedium convictionPost-regime change in Venezuela, if Defense Minister accepts amnesty, it's a buy signal for companies like $ASHM (Venezuelan debt holder), $GHM/$MVZ.B (vacuum ejectors for crude, banks), $ENR/$AMTB (reconstruction beneficiaries), and $SU (substitute during collapse). $CVX faces asset risks.2026-01-0319.1718.22-5.0%X sourceMirror
EOS.ASXMentioned / watchEOS.AXDormantMedium convictionOptical ground infrastructure deficit creates bottleneck for space laser communications; beneficiaries include companies providing optical ground stations, terminals, and related hardware, as well as fallback RF providers.2026-04-059.4411.13+17.9%X sourceMirror
ESLTMentioned / watchESLT.TADormantMedium convictionIran mining Strait of Hormuz creates urgent need for mine detection and clearance, benefiting aquatic defense contractors.2026-03-10270,300.00253,300.00-6.3%X sourceMirror
ETOROMentioned / watchETORODormantMedium convictionETORO has 37% of profits from crypto, is at a recent low, and may catch up to other crypto brokerages that have risen 8-10%.2025-07-02price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
EXAMentioned / watchEXADormantMedium convictionIran mining Strait of Hormuz creates urgent need for mine detection and clearance, benefiting aquatic defense contractors.2026-03-10price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
EXALFMentioned / watchEXALFDormantMedium convictionIran deploying mines in Strait of Hormuz creates tailwind for underwater defense companies specializing in sonar, minehunting, and mine identification/disposal.2026-03-11139.00172.05+23.8%X sourceMirror
FEIMMentioned / watchFEIMDormantMedium convictionFEIM has space exposure and is a bottleneck supplier for NASA, LMT, and potentially SpaceX Starshield for atomic clocks if GPS is jammed/destroyed.2026-01-1956.1875.88+35.1%X sourceMirror
FIGMAMentioned / watchFIGMADormantMedium convictionPortfolio adds and trades with reasoning for each ticker, including swing trades, DCA, and long-term holds.2025-09-26price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
FLYMentioned / watchFLYDormantMedium convictionSpaceX's $1.75 trillion IPO valuation is bullish for space stocks like FLY and LUNR, possibly more than external discoveries.2025-10-083146.49+50.0%X sourceMirror
FNMentioned / watchFNDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2026-02-25615.99654.16+6.2%X sourceMirror
FPLSFMentioned / watchFPLSFDormantMedium convictionVNP/FPLSF is one of the most important Western companies to hyperscaler supply chains outside of China/Japan, implying strong demand and strategic value.2026-03-2525.2230.7+21.7%X sourceMirror
FROMentioned / watchFRODormantMedium convictionIsrael's airstrike on Iran creates immediate bullish catalysts for energy and defense stocks due to increased geopolitical tensions and potential escalation.2026-02-2839.6234.67-12.5%X sourceMirror
GDRZFMentioned / watchGDRZFDormantMedium convictionGold Reserve has a $1.1B awarded claim against Venezuela and potential control over a major gold/copper deposit, making its current $360M market cap undervalued.2026-01-043.244.72+45.7%X sourceMirror
GILTMentioned / watchGILTDormantMedium convictionOptical ground infrastructure deficit creates bottleneck for space laser communications; beneficiaries include companies providing optical ground stations, terminals, and related hardware, as well as fallback RF providers.2026-04-0517.2717.17-0.6%X sourceMirror
GOOGLMentioned / watchGOOGLDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2025-07-03179.53380.34+111.9%X sourceMirror
HALMentioned / watchHALDormantMedium convictionTrump likely to subsidize US oil firms operating in Venezuela, benefiting Chevron, refiners processing Venezuelan crude, and service companies repairing pipelines. This reduces capex risk and is bullish for these companies.2026-01-0630.8338.85+26.0%X sourceMirror
HAMMONDMentioned / watchHAMMONDDormantMedium convictionTransformers bottleneck persists with 2-5 year lead times, benefiting a dominant small-cap company.2026-04-06price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
HIIMentioned / watchHIIDormantMedium convictionHow to profit from US invasion of Venezuela and regime change through a basket of stocks.2026-01-03363.48308.17-15.2%X sourceMirror
HIVEMentioned / watchHIVEDormantMedium convictionPost provides a tier list ranking of neocloud sector stocks based on weighted assessments of contract visibility, macro resilience, balance sheet strength, HPC buildout risk, revenue growth trajectory, and market cap relative to revenue ramp. The sector is compelling but some have higher asymmetrical returns.2025-09-283.854.52+17.4%X sourceMirror
HXSCFMentioned / watchHXSCFDormantMedium convictionSamsung and SK Hynix can pass increased costs onto hyperscalers due to memory demand not being in a downturn like 2022, making the current dip a buying opportunity.2026-03-03price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
IBITMentioned / watchIBITDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2025-07-0362.1941.63-33.1%X sourceMirror
INFQMentioned / watchINFQDormantMedium convictionINFQ is a pure play quantum computing IPO with exposure to national security and quantum sensing applications, driven by government funding and industry progress.2026-02-1814.7116.22+10.3%X sourceMirror
INTUMentioned / watchINTUDormantMedium convictionIntuit's QuickBooks faces disruption from cheaper AI-driven competitors enabled by vibe coding with Claude.2026-04-12369.44331.53-10.3%X sourceMirror
IQEPFMentioned / watchIQEPFDormantMedium convictionIQEPF is in a debt trap despite being critical to Western markets; in an asset sale, lenders get paid first and shareholders get shafted, similar to Spirit Airlines bankruptcy risk.2025-12-300.0620.635+924.2%X sourceMirror
JDMentioned / watchJDDormantMedium convictionMarket liquidation cascades from silver crash and hawkish Fed nomination fears, but overall fundamentals remain bullish with expected rate cuts and AI growth. Recommend repositioning to FCF-generating names and being cautious on speculative high-beta names.2026-02-0228.5328.83+1.1%X sourceMirror
JETSMentioned / watchJETSDormantMedium convictionLong $JETS and airliner ETFs for lower implied volatility compared to individual names, with a down 15% YTD, low IV around 28-30 for 2028, and inverse relationship to oil.2026-03-0925.7729.32+13.8%X sourceMirror
JPMMentioned / watchJPMDormantMedium convictionMarket liquidation cascades from silver crash and hawkish Fed nomination fears, but overall fundamentals remain bullish with expected rate cuts and AI growth. Recommend repositioning to FCF-generating names and being cautious on speculative high-beta names.2026-02-01308.14299.31-2.9%X sourceMirror
KLARMentioned / watchKLARDormantMedium convictionPortfolio adds and trades with reasoning for each ticker, including swing trades, DCA, and long-term holds.2025-09-2639.9418.29-54.2%X sourceMirror
KOSPIMentioned / watchKOSPIDormantMedium convictionSouth Korea index carried by Samsung and SK Hynix with strong profit projections; index in price discovery mode, potential long-term opportunity.2026-02-27price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
KRKNFMentioned / watchKRKNFDormantMedium convictionAndruil awarded a $20B cumulative total contract by the US Department of War, which is positive for its supply chain and integration partners including PLTR, KRKNF, SPIR, and ACHR.2025-10-294.85.462+13.8%X sourceMirror
KRUSMentioned / watchKRUSDormantMedium convictionPost-Fed rate cut analysis provides stock ratings with explanations: Strong Buy on stablecoin, semi, and growth plays; Buy on AI infrastructure and select recovery plays; Avoid on overvalued or fundamental-less stocks.2025-12-1053.9556.19+4.2%X sourceMirror
LASRMentioned / watchLASRDormantMedium convictionShift from expensive missiles to energy directed weapons like LASR's high energy lasers and high powered microwaves due to cost and sustainability advantages in prolonged conflicts.2026-01-2443.5874.12+70.1%X sourceMirror
LEUMentioned / watchLEUDormantMedium convictionLEU is the only US company currently able to produce HALEU, making it a key bottleneck.2026-01-18315.92182.47-42.2%X sourceMirror
LMTMentioned / watchLMTDormantMedium convictionNOC and LMT may continue to rise if Iran conflict escalates, despite already being front-run.2026-02-28676.70530.45-21.6%X sourceMirror
LNGMentioned / watchLNGDormantMedium convictionOil and LNG exporters are obvious longs in wartime, with low IV providing opportunity for gains if tensions escalate.2026-03-28293.64224.86-23.4%X sourceMirror
LPTHMentioned / watchLPTHDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2026-01-1413.2316.98+28.3%X sourceMirror
LSCCMentioned / watchLSCCDormantMedium convictionThe post presents a research summary of US robotics supply chain companies, highlighting exposure to humanoid and industrial robotics from players like Boston Dynamics and Optimus. The author is personally invested in SYSS and LPTH as bottleneck plays, and identifies several other tickers as potential beneficiaries. The overall thesis is bullish on robotics inflection in 2026-2027.2026-01-1083.1147.08+77.0%X sourceMirror
LTCMentioned / watchLTCDormantMedium convictionLitecoin is seeing real usage as a payment vehicle in fintech, has an ETF, finite supply like Bitcoin, potential treasury company accumulation, and market is pumping altcoins, making it a good buy.2025-09-1136.5337.41+2.4%X sourceMirror
LVMHMentioned / watchLVMHDormantMedium convictionGreenland trade tensions will benefit US defense stocks $UAVS and $DPRO, while negatively impacting European pharma $NVO and luxury $LVMH.2026-01-18price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
MAMentioned / watchMADormantMedium convictionLong term disruption of card networks and interchange by USDC and crypto platforms like Circle and Coinbase, evidenced by AI agent settlements in USDC, leading to negative impact on V, MA, PYPL.2026-03-19491.14493.98+0.6%X sourceMirror
MACRONIXMentioned / watchMACRONIXDormantMedium convictionMacronix is a pure play on NOR Flash with 30-35% market share and smaller market cap ($6.7B) compared to peers. Price hikes so far are modest; for a significant re-rating similar to SanDisk ($SNDK), steeper hikes are needed.2026-03-01price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
MARAMentioned / watchMARADormantMedium convictionPost provides a tier list ranking of neocloud sector stocks based on weighted assessments of contract visibility, macro resilience, balance sheet strength, HPC buildout risk, revenue growth trajectory, and market cap relative to revenue ramp. The sector is compelling but some have higher asymmetrical returns.2025-07-0317.6614.38-18.6%X sourceMirror
MCBMentioned / watchMCBDormantMedium convictionExpects MCB to be an alpha opportunity if algorithms overreact to a separate bank collapse.2026-01-3194.6289.52-5.4%X sourceMirror
MELIMentioned / watchMELIDormantMedium convictionMarket liquidation cascades from silver crash and hawkish Fed nomination fears, but overall fundamentals remain bullish with expected rate cuts and AI growth. Recommend repositioning to FCF-generating names and being cautious on speculative high-beta names.2026-02-022,147.221,695.65-21.0%X sourceMirror
METAMentioned / watchMETADormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2025-10-10705.30632.51-10.3%X sourceMirror
MINDMentioned / watchMINDDormantMedium convictionIran mining Strait of Hormuz creates urgent need for mine detection and clearance, benefiting aquatic defense contractors.2026-03-108.686.75-22.2%X sourceMirror
MOG.AMentioned / watchMOG.ADormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2026-04-09price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
MPMentioned / watchMPDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2025-09-1872.1364.7-10.3%X sourceMirror
MPCMentioned / watchMPCDormantMedium convictionTrump likely to subsidize US oil firms operating in Venezuela, benefiting Chevron, refiners processing Venezuelan crude, and service companies repairing pipelines. This reduces capex risk and is bullish for these companies.2026-01-06170.42248.77+46.0%X sourceMirror
MPWRMentioned / watchMPWRDormantMedium convictionPost-Fed rate cut analysis provides stock ratings with explanations: Strong Buy on stablecoin, semi, and growth plays; Buy on AI infrastructure and select recovery plays; Avoid on overvalued or fundamental-less stocks.2025-12-02952.181,566.21+64.5%X sourceMirror
MSRMentioned / watchMSRDormantMedium convictionVietnam is positioned to attract Western supply chain investment, especially in critical minerals like tungsten. MSR, as a primary tungsten stock in Vietnam, stands to benefit from increased investment and supply chain diversification away from China/Russia.2026-04-0424.523.27-5.0%X sourceMirror
MSTRMentioned / watchMSTRDormantMedium convictionShort sellers of MSTR are also long Bitcoin, arbitraging the MNAV premium from 1.8-2 levels back to 1, capping losses as MNAV is unlikely to increase to 2 or 4.2025-07-03403.99159.09-60.6%X sourceMirror
NANYAMentioned / watch2408.TWDormantMedium convictionNanya faces credible mid-term threat from China-specific supply chains as the Big 3 memory makers abandoned legacy DRAM for higher margin AI segments.2026-01-28297.00347.00+16.8%X sourceMirror
NCIMentioned / watchNCIDormantMedium convictionNCI remains undervalued at 1x PBR despite an 80% rise, and its role as a niche upstream red phosphorus supplier represents a serious vulnerability in AI infrastructure.2026-04-144.0810.1+147.5%X sourceMirror
NFEMentioned / watchNFEDormantMedium convictionHigh short interest (42%) combined with recent interest rate cuts provides a bullish tailwind for NFE.2025-09-172.160.561-74.0%X sourceMirror
NKEMentioned / watchNKEDormantMedium convictionNike has lost its 'cool factor' based on anecdotal observations of people wearing competitors' brands and seeing Nike at discount stores, suggesting declining brand strength and potential stock underperformance.2026-04-0144.6346.23+3.6%X sourceMirror
NOCMentioned / watchNOCDormantMedium convictionNOC and LMT may continue to rise if Iran conflict escalates, despite already being front-run.2026-01-13625.50563.68-9.9%X sourceMirror
NODEMentioned / watchNODEDormantMedium convictionNODE offers exposure to a thesis without the need for portfolio rebalancing and stock picking, making it a convenient investment vehicle.2026-01-1540.4947.07+16.3%X sourceMirror
NOVTMentioned / watchNOVTDormantMedium convictionThe post presents a research summary of US robotics supply chain companies, highlighting exposure to humanoid and industrial robotics from players like Boston Dynamics and Optimus. The author is personally invested in SYSS and LPTH as bottleneck plays, and identifies several other tickers as potential beneficiaries. The overall thesis is bullish on robotics inflection in 2026-2027.2026-01-16134.57159.33+18.4%X sourceMirror
NTTYYMentioned / watchNTTYYDormantMedium convictionOptical ground infrastructure deficit creates bottleneck for space laser communications; beneficiaries include companies providing optical ground stations, terminals, and related hardware, as well as fallback RF providers.2026-04-0524.723.52-4.8%X sourceMirror
NUAIMentioned / watchNUAIDormantMedium convictionIf EPFA and future dilution concerns are resolved, NUAI would be a great investment.2025-09-261.844.77+159.2%X sourceMirror
NVOMentioned / watchNVODormantMedium convictionGreenland trade tensions will benefit US defense stocks $UAVS and $DPRO, while negatively impacting European pharma $NVO and luxury $LVMH.2025-08-2356.3445.58-19.1%X sourceMirror
OIMentioned / watchOIDormantMedium convictionHow to profit from US invasion of Venezuela and regime change through a basket of stocks.2026-01-0415.258.75-42.6%X sourceMirror
OKLOMentioned / watchOKLODormantMedium convictionPost-Fed rate cut analysis provides stock ratings with explanations: Strong Buy on stablecoin, semi, and growth plays; Buy on AI infrastructure and select recovery plays; Avoid on overvalued or fundamental-less stocks.2025-09-26110.5366.88-39.5%X sourceMirror
OPTTMentioned / watchOPTTDormantMedium convictionIranian sea mines threat could drive investor attention and defense contracts to underwater defense companies $KRKNF, $OPTT, and $CODA.2026-01-250.570.38-33.3%X sourceMirror
OSCRMentioned / watchOSCRDormantMedium convictionRe-enter OSCR after a large drop, using cost averaging down to $11.6, based on previous successful trade from $14 to $22.2025-07-0316.4722.23+35.0%X sourceMirror
OSSMentioned / watchOSSDormantMedium convictionReaffirms bullish on LPTH (war stocks due to recent conflicts), OSS (germanium bottlenecks and edge computing unchanged), VLN (still undervalued), and NBIS (needs time to play out).2025-11-055.7618.18+215.6%X sourceMirror
OUSTMentioned / watchOUSTDormantMedium convictionThe post presents a research summary of US robotics supply chain companies, highlighting exposure to humanoid and industrial robotics from players like Boston Dynamics and Optimus. The author is personally invested in SYSS and LPTH as bottleneck plays, and identifies several other tickers as potential beneficiaries. The overall thesis is bullish on robotics inflection in 2026-2027.2026-01-0725.746.05+79.2%X sourceMirror
PAYPMentioned / watchPAYPDormantMedium convictionPayPay (PAYP) is a Japanese superapp for payments, investing, and banking. At $11.8B market cap, it trades at ~5.8x P/S with strong growth (26% revenue growth) and profitability, but valuation is not a screaming buy. Softbank lockup in 2026 is a risk.2026-03-1321.1419.52-7.7%X sourceMirror
PFGCMentioned / watchPFGCDormantMedium convictionPentagon's spending on king crab and lobster tails will benefit broadline distributors SYY, USFD, and PFGC due to their large government contracts.2026-03-1187.7898.19+11.9%X sourceMirror
PINSMentioned / watchPINSDormantMedium convictionSocial media stocks are oversold and undervalued; AI will make them leaner and more profitable, making now a buying opportunity despite some concerns.2025-12-3125.8920.05-22.6%X sourceMirror
PLMRMentioned / watchPLMRDormantMedium convictionTriple rate cut projection negatively impacts PLMR and UPWK due to lower investment income, unlike other small caps that benefit from lower debt costs.2025-09-18117.77107.04-9.1%X sourceMirror
PLTRMentioned / watchPLTRDormantMedium convictionAndruil awarded a $20B cumulative total contract by the US Department of War, which is positive for its supply chain and integration partners including PLTR, KRKNF, SPIR, and ACHR.2025-07-28157.88156.54-0.8%X sourceMirror
PSXMentioned / watchPSXDormantMedium convictionTrump likely to subsidize US oil firms operating in Venezuela, benefiting Chevron, refiners processing Venezuelan crude, and service companies repairing pipelines. This reduces capex risk and is bullish for these companies.2026-01-03139.98175.88+25.6%X sourceMirror
PYPLMentioned / watchPYPLDormantMedium convictionHiring former HP CEO to run PayPal is a bullish signal. Even the poster claims they could take PayPal to $100B valuation if they ran it.2025-09-2869.6844.75-35.8%X sourceMirror
QBTSMentioned / watchQBTSDormantMedium convictionMarket liquidation cascades from silver crash and hawkish Fed nomination fears, but overall fundamentals remain bullish with expected rate cuts and AI growth. Recommend repositioning to FCF-generating names and being cautious on speculative high-beta names.2025-09-1418.3230.14+64.5%X sourceMirror
RGTIMentioned / watchRGTIDormantMedium convictionMarket liquidation cascades from silver crash and hawkish Fed nomination fears, but overall fundamentals remain bullish with expected rate cuts and AI growth. Recommend repositioning to FCF-generating names and being cautious on speculative high-beta names.2025-10-0441.7125.54-38.8%X sourceMirror
RKTMentioned / watchRKTDormantMedium convictionPolymarket pricing 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025, benefiting small caps, real estate, fintech, and growth tech stocks.2025-07-2316.2114.51-10.5%X sourceMirror
RMBSMentioned / watchRMBSDormantMedium convictionRMBS has steady memory IP revenue but does not benefit from DRAM/NAND price surges, limiting upside in the current memory cycle.2025-12-1595.45145.46+52.4%X sourceMirror
RMLFFMentioned / watchRMLFFDormantMedium convictionUS control over Venezuela's resources leads to claims being paid out. Rusoro Mining likely to get ~$1.8B from CITGO auction (3x return). Gold Reserve could swap $8.1B claims for mining rights (45x potential). O-I Glass could get $700M from CITGO sale, improving balance sheet.2026-01-040.7750.85+9.7%X sourceMirror
RRXMentioned / watchRRXDormantMedium convictionThe post presents a research summary of US robotics supply chain companies, highlighting exposure to humanoid and industrial robotics from players like Boston Dynamics and Optimus. The author is personally invested in SYSS and LPTH as bottleneck plays, and identifies several other tickers as potential beneficiaries. The overall thesis is bullish on robotics inflection in 2026-2027.2026-01-16160.11201.76+26.0%X sourceMirror
RTXMentioned / watchRTXDormantMedium convictionIsrael's airstrike on Iran creates immediate bullish catalysts for energy and defense stocks due to increased geopolitical tensions and potential escalation.2026-01-03188.26179.66-4.6%X sourceMirror
RUMMentioned / watchRUMDormantMedium convictionTop 15 catalyst-driven stocks for FY2025, each with specific catalysts and ideal entry points, all bullish.2025-09-157.659.19+20.1%X sourceMirror
RVIMentioned / watchRVIDormantMedium convictionRobinhood Ventures ETF has majority concentration in companies with freshly raised peak valuations like Stripe and Revolut, posing a risk.2026-02-182149.51+135.8%X sourceMirror
SMentioned / watchSDormantMedium convictionOpenClaw trade beneficiaries include Minimax (0100) and Raspberry Pi (RPI), which have risen ~60%. S is worth investigating.2026-02-1813.3516.55+24.0%X sourceMirror
SAFRYMentioned / watchSAFRYDormantMedium convictionOptical ground infrastructure deficit creates bottleneck for space laser communications; beneficiaries include companies providing optical ground stations, terminals, and related hardware, as well as fallback RF providers.2026-04-0583.388.95+6.8%X sourceMirror
SAMSUNGMentioned / watch005930.KSDormantMedium convictionFears regarding disruption of AI memory companies are overblown; they are compelling long-term investments without margin.2025-12-05108,400.00317,000.00+192.4%X sourceMirror
SAMSUNGELECTRONICSMentioned / watch005930.KSDormantMedium convictionPost-Fed rate cut analysis provides stock ratings with explanations: Strong Buy on stablecoin, semi, and growth plays; Buy on AI infrastructure and select recovery plays; Avoid on overvalued or fundamental-less stocks.2025-12-10108,000.00317,000.00+193.5%X sourceMirror
SEIMentioned / watchSEIDormantMedium convictionData center buildout benefits FLNC, SEI, TE; rotation into neocloud sector via NBIS.2025-10-0848.2169.54+44.2%X sourceMirror
SGMentioned / watchSGDormantMedium convictionTop 15 catalyst-driven stocks for FY2025, each with specific catalysts and ideal entry points, all bullish.2025-07-0314.699.96-32.2%X sourceMirror
SGBAFMentioned / watchSGBAFDormantMedium convictionOptical ground infrastructure deficit creates bottleneck for space laser communications; beneficiaries include companies providing optical ground stations, terminals, and related hardware, as well as fallback RF providers.2026-04-057.2410.98+51.7%X sourceMirror
SIMOMentioned / watchSIMODormantMedium convictionSIMO operates as a duopoly with Phison for merchant controllers, supplying Samsung and others. Q1 2026 is expected to be the lowest quarter, with beat and rise for the rest of the year, supported by TAM expansion.2026-02-15131.36276.87+110.8%X sourceMirror
SKHYNIXMentioned / watch000660.KSDormantMedium convictionExpect positive outcome from SK Hynix earnings in 2 months, reinforcing long-term bullish thesis.2025-12-10587,000.002,333,000.00+297.4%X sourceMirror
SKPJFMentioned / watchSKPJFDormantMedium convictionOptical ground infrastructure deficit creates bottleneck for space laser communications; beneficiaries include companies providing optical ground stations, terminals, and related hardware, as well as fallback RF providers.2026-04-05728+300.0%X sourceMirror
SKYMentioned / watchSKYDormantMedium convictionDespite tariff panic, fundamental buildout in defense, AI, and domestic hardware remains unchanged, presenting a valuation opportunity.2026-01-2094.1773.63-21.8%X sourceMirror
SLOIFMentioned / watchSLOIFDormantMedium convictionSoitec is the Western monopoly over silicon photonics and CPO substrates, and the stock has already moved up significantly since the thesis was posted.2026-03-0251.03206.00+303.7%X sourceMirror
SMCIMentioned / watchSMCIDormantMedium convictionSMCI appears undervalued at ~$12B market cap despite poor optics.2025-09-0942.9246.09+7.4%X sourceMirror
SMSNMentioned / watchSMSNDormantMedium convictionSamsung and SK Hynix have low projected P/E ratios based on 2026-2027 earnings estimates, suggesting undervaluation.2026-02-26price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
SMTOYMentioned / watchSMTOYDormantMedium convictionCapture InP supply shock and photonics BOM value through key players in AI supply chain.2025-12-2640.277.74+93.4%X sourceMirror
SNAPMentioned / watchSNAPDormantMedium convictionSocial media stocks are oversold and undervalued; AI will make them leaner and more profitable, making now a buying opportunity despite some concerns.2025-09-107.055.71-19.0%X sourceMirror
SOUNMentioned / watchSOUNDormantMedium convictionSOUN is a solid long but largely priced in with limited upside at 23x forward sales, despite strong revenue growth and cash position.2026-01-1411.289-20.2%X sourceMirror
SPIRMentioned / watchSPIRDormantMedium convictionAndruil awarded a $20B cumulative total contract by the US Department of War, which is positive for its supply chain and integration partners including PLTR, KRKNF, SPIR, and ACHR.2026-03-1410.6622.84+114.3%X sourceMirror
SPOTMentioned / watchSPOTDormantMedium convictionPeople will continue to use Spotify to listen to music despite AI music tools like Suno, and artists will release AI-generated music through Spotify.2026-02-27514.94497.68-3.4%X sourceMirror
SRPTMentioned / watchSRPTDormantMedium convictionSwing trades on stocks that have experienced significant drops, anticipating mean reversion or reversal based on the extent of decline and prior price levels.2025-07-0318.2417.87-2.0%X sourceMirror
STNGMentioned / watchSTNGDormantMedium convictionIsrael's airstrike on Iran creates immediate bullish catalysts for energy and defense stocks due to increased geopolitical tensions and potential escalation.2026-02-2878.2874.51-4.8%X sourceMirror
SUMentioned / watchSUDormantMedium convictionPost-regime change in Venezuela, if Defense Minister accepts amnesty, it's a buy signal for companies like $ASHM (Venezuelan debt holder), $GHM/$MVZ.B (vacuum ejectors for crude, banks), $ENR/$AMTB (reconstruction beneficiaries), and $SU (substitute during collapse). $CVX faces asset risks.2026-01-0344.7762.36+39.3%X sourceMirror
SYSSMentioned / watchSYSSDormantMedium convictionTesla's Optimus supply chain is bottlenecked by MP (magnets), LPTH (black diamond), and SYSS (frame materials), while AMBA may be cut off as Tesla develops custom chips.2026-01-16price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
SYYMentioned / watchSYYDormantMedium convictionPentagon's spending on king crab and lobster tails will benefit broadline distributors SYY, USFD, and PFGC due to their large government contracts.2026-03-1184.5675.81-10.3%X sourceMirror
TAEMentioned / watchTAEDormantMedium convictionTAE can achieve $100B+ valuation if it commercializes fusion by 2030, with merger with DJT as a catalyst.2025-12-19price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
TEMMentioned / watchTEMDormantMedium convictionCombining HIMS' DTC distribution network with TEM's personalized sequencing and AI treatment into a scalable product could revolutionize personalized AI medicine, targeting the entire human population as TAM.2025-09-2678.4850.47-35.7%X sourceMirror
TGTMentioned / watchTGTDormantMedium convictionTarget's P/E of 12 is fair value for a low-growth retailer (frying pan reseller), implying limited upside.2025-09-1889.42127.07+42.1%X sourceMirror
TKRMentioned / watchTKRDormantMedium convictionThe post presents a research summary of US robotics supply chain companies, highlighting exposure to humanoid and industrial robotics from players like Boston Dynamics and Optimus. The author is personally invested in SYSS and LPTH as bottleneck plays, and identifies several other tickers as potential beneficiaries. The overall thesis is bullish on robotics inflection in 2026-2027.2026-01-1693.55127.98+36.8%X sourceMirror
TRGPMentioned / watchTRGPDormantMedium convictionHow to profit from US invasion of Venezuela and regime change through a basket of stocks.2026-01-03183.47255.07+39.0%X sourceMirror
UBERMentioned / watchUBERDormantMedium convictionUber is unlikely to partner with Waymo in all cities; instead, it may partner with Avride (partially owned by NBIS) to avoid creating a standalone competitor.2025-11-2483.6970.4-15.9%X sourceMirror
UPWKMentioned / watchUPWKDormantMedium convictionMarkets are not always efficient; examples include arbitrage opportunity in $BULL shares vs warrants and undervalued $UPWK with low P/E and cash.2025-07-0213.468.82-34.5%X sourceMirror
USFDMentioned / watchUSFDDormantMedium convictionPentagon's spending on king crab and lobster tails will benefit broadline distributors SYY, USFD, and PFGC due to their large government contracts.2026-03-1191.3481.85-10.4%X sourceMirror
VMentioned / watchVDormantMedium convictionVisa's future growth could be cannibalized by fee-free payment systems and USDC, but current market pricing assumes perpetual compounding, which may be overly optimistic.2026-01-01346.48326.36-5.8%X sourceMirror
VCXMentioned / watchVCXDormantMedium convictionThe prior bullish thesis on VCX appears invalidated as price crashed from $425 to $110 in 4 days, suggesting overvaluation based on unrealistic SpaceX valuation expectations.2026-03-26262.00211.00-19.5%X sourceMirror
VIRTMentioned / watchVIRTDormantMedium convictionMarket makers like VIRT profit from increased volatility caused by the US Navy blockade at the Strait of Hormuz.2025-09-2935.8750.15+39.8%X sourceMirror
VLNMentioned / watchVLNDormantMedium convictionVLN is undervalued based on net assets and cash position relative to market cap, with high gross margins and no debt.2026-01-092.483.53+42.3%X sourceMirror
VLOMentioned / watchVLODormantMedium convictionVLO, AVAV, and CVX are the safest bets due to US government subsidies for development.2026-01-03180.57244.82+35.6%X sourceMirror
VNPMentioned / watchVNPDormantMedium convictionVNP is a US-listed alternative to AXT in the supply chain.2026-01-26price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
VPGMentioned / watchVPGDormantMedium convictionList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.2026-01-2146.81125.31+167.7%X sourceMirror
VSATMentioned / watchVSATDormantMedium convictionOptical ground infrastructure deficit creates bottleneck for space laser communications; beneficiaries include companies providing optical ground stations, terminals, and related hardware, as well as fallback RF providers.2026-04-0552.180.62+54.7%X sourceMirror
WINMentioned / watch3105.TWODormantMedium convictionWin Semi is designed into MRVL, JBL, and hyperscaler flows, with potential for CPO scale-up and volume ramp.2026-03-27382.50527.00+37.8%X sourceMirror
WLACMentioned / watchWLACDormantMedium convictionWLAC is delayed from Q4 2025 IPO to June 30, 2026, but a $127 million contract with Fluidstack is a strong bullish catalyst.2025-10-0913.0518.83+44.3%X sourceMirror
WMTMentioned / watchWMTDormantMedium convictionMETA is growing rapidly with a low forward P/E compared to WMT which has much higher valuation despite slower growth, indicating mispricing.2025-12-10113.18115.75+2.3%X sourceMirror
WOLFMentioned / watchWOLFDormantMedium convictionWolfspeed has a unique technological moat with the world's first 300mm SiC wafer, critical for AI and national security, but faces severe financial risks including negative EV, heavy debt, convertible notes, and dilution. The stock is a 'Bear-Bull Paradox'.2026-01-1920.559.28+189.2%X sourceMirror
XLEMentioned / watchXLEDormantMedium convictionIsrael's airstrike on Iran creates immediate bullish catalysts for energy and defense stocks due to increased geopolitical tensions and potential escalation.2026-02-2857.0456.29-1.3%X sourceMirror
XOMMentioned / watchXOMDormantMedium convictionIsrael's airstrike on Iran creates immediate bullish catalysts for energy and defense stocks due to increased geopolitical tensions and potential escalation.2026-02-28154.22145.26-5.8%X sourceMirror
XYZMentioned / watchXYZDormantMedium convictionXYZ is a decent Bitcoin proxy play with low P/E, low downside risk, and upside from holiday processing volume and Bitcoin recovery.2025-12-0561.1175.72+23.9%X sourceMirror
ZWMentioned / watchZWDormantMedium convictionPolymarket pricing 3 Fed rate cuts in 2025, benefiting small caps, real estate, fintech, and growth tech stocks.2025-09-18price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
LITEMentioned / watchLITEOpenLow convictionExport controls on Rasa/NCI to halt China's InP substrate production would cause collateral damage to IQE and LITE, while controls on Ulvac and other chokepoints for humanoid production have less collateral harm.2025-12-02302.81854.96+182.3%X sourceMirror
LULUMentioned / watchLULUOpenLow convictionHiring a Nike veteran to lead Lululemon's brand revival is misguided, similar to PayPal hiring HP's former CEO.2025-09-14159.98131.18-18.0%X sourceMirror
CBRSMentioned / watchCBRSClosedLow convictionUser expresses intention to stop loss on $CBRS due to current losses and concerns about the stock.2026-05-14311.07236.99-23.8%X sourceMirror
APHMentioned / watchAPHDormantLow convictionThese companies supply high purity copper, copper-tungsten, and copper infrastructure for directed energy weapons (like those from $LASR).2026-01-24155.56148.76-4.4%X sourceMirror
BBWMentioned / watchBBWDormantLow convictionBuild-a-Bear's advanced voice box technology reportedly used in Ukraine HIMAR systems, positioning it as an unexpected AI beneficiary akin to Toto toilets benefiting from HBM.2026-01-2560.837.21-38.8%X sourceMirror
DFLIMentioned / watchDFLIDormantLow convictionChina expands rare earths restrictions, potentially benefiting battery material suppliers WWR (graphite) and DFLI (lithium).2025-10-0812.52.11-83.1%X sourceMirror
DNUTMentioned / watchDNUTDormantLow convictionBuying $DNUT out of principle to oppose short sellers, motivated by a meme rally sentiment.2025-07-234.323.52-18.5%X sourceMirror
ETORMentioned / watchETORDormantLow conviction$$ETOR is considered a safe bet due to its high cash balance.2025-09-2045.0241.98-6.8%X sourceMirror
FAZMentioned / watchFAZDormantLow convictionPortfolio designed to profit from a doomsday scenario involving US ground troops in Iran and Iranian retaliation, with specific positions betting on financial crisis, oil spike, tech crash, Lucid collapse, volatility, and Nvidia decline.2026-03-2854.0444.94-16.8%X sourceMirror
FCXMentioned / watchFCXDormantLow convictionChinese critical minerals export control chokepoints present Western beneficiary opportunities across multiple materials including tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, and graphite.2026-01-2360.4165.71+8.8%X sourceMirror
FIMentioned / watchFIDormantLow convictionThe user shares several new stocks they find interesting with initial bullish rationales: LGN benefits from DC buildout with Mag7 clients; LYC.AX is a sole source of military-critical rare earths; DGXX has low valuation and high growth; KRKNF supplies advanced systems to Anduril; FI may recover from a drop like UNH but faces potential disruption.2025-10-30price unavailable63.8n/aX sourceMirror
GUSHMentioned / watchGUSHDormantLow convictionPortfolio designed to profit from a doomsday scenario involving US ground troops in Iran and Iranian retaliation, with specific positions betting on financial crisis, oil spike, tech crash, Lucid collapse, volatility, and Nvidia decline.2026-03-2846.0334.89-24.2%X sourceMirror
KREMentioned / watchKREDormantLow convictionMCB may be mispriced due to confusion with failed Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust, and KRE may be oversold on bank failure headlines. Both are potential buys if sell-off occurs, though the incident is isolated and market opportunity limited.2026-01-3170.0469.61-0.6%X sourceMirror
LACMentioned / watchLACDormantLow convictionChinese critical minerals export control chokepoints present Western beneficiary opportunities across multiple materials including tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, and graphite.2025-09-246.015.21-13.3%X sourceMirror
LCIDMentioned / watchLCIDDormantLow convictionPortfolio designed to profit from a doomsday scenario involving US ground troops in Iran and Iranian retaliation, with specific positions betting on financial crisis, oil spike, tech crash, Lucid collapse, volatility, and Nvidia decline.2026-03-289.156.55-28.4%X sourceMirror
LGNMentioned / watchLGNDormantLow convictionSame thesis as earlier: LGN benefits from DC buildout and Mag7 usage; negatives include debt and P/E fund issues, but not deeply researched.2025-10-3039.8583.74+110.1%X sourceMirror
LYC.AXMentioned / watchLYC.AXDormantLow convictionThe user shares several new stocks they find interesting with initial bullish rationales: LGN benefits from DC buildout with Mag7 clients; LYC.AX is a sole source of military-critical rare earths; DGXX has low valuation and high growth; KRKNF supplies advanced systems to Anduril; FI may recover from a drop like UNH but faces potential disruption.2025-10-3015.2519.19+25.8%X sourceMirror
MTRNMentioned / watchMTRNDormantLow convictionThese companies supply high purity copper, copper-tungsten, and copper infrastructure for directed energy weapons (like those from $LASR).2026-01-19145.57220.04+51.2%X sourceMirror
OPADMentioned / watchOPADDormantLow conviction3 projected rate cuts stimulate housing market sales and lower borrowing costs, benefiting OPEN and OPAD. OPEN has rallied 1700%+ recently, and OPAD is a smaller cap with high short interest that may follow.2025-09-184.260.766-82.0%X sourceMirror
OPENMentioned / watchOPENDormantLow conviction3 projected rate cuts stimulate housing market sales and lower borrowing costs, benefiting OPEN and OPAD. OPEN has rallied 1700%+ recently, and OPAD is a smaller cap with high short interest that may follow.2025-09-189.945.04-49.3%X sourceMirror
ORCLMentioned / watchORCLDormantLow convictionOracle's recovery depends on proving AI cloud segment profitability and reducing counterparty risk from OpenAI.2025-09-10328.33225.78-31.2%X sourceMirror
P4OMentioned / watchP4O.DEDormantLow convictionP4O is a pure-play glass substrate supplier likely supplying LITE OCS supply chains and Samsung with potential mapping to COHR.2026-03-2512.114.4+19.0%X sourceMirror
PZZAMentioned / watchPZZADormantLow convictionPapa John's Pizza is the main beneficiary of the Venezuela regime change.2026-01-0339.8734.21-14.2%X sourceMirror
RELYMentioned / watchRELYDormantLow convictionPreliminary positive view of $RELY based on gross margins, balance sheet, and growth. Further analysis pending.2025-10-0715.8320.02+26.5%X sourceMirror
SCCOMentioned / watchSCCODormantLow convictionThese companies supply high purity copper, copper-tungsten, and copper infrastructure for directed energy weapons (like those from $LASR).2026-01-23181.03191.30+5.7%X sourceMirror
SMHMentioned / watchSMHDormantLow convictionToo many shorts on AAOI, LITE, SMH may be squeezed due to positive geopolitical developments.2026-04-08422.92598.93+41.6%X sourceMirror
SOLMentioned / watchSOLDormantLow convictionAdded positions on the drop across multiple names due to price declines, expressing uncertainty about future direction.2026-01-30price unavailable1.94n/aX sourceMirror
SQQQMentioned / watchSQQQDormantLow convictionPortfolio designed to profit from a doomsday scenario involving US ground troops in Iran and Iranian retaliation, with specific positions betting on financial crisis, oil spike, tech crash, Lucid collapse, volatility, and Nvidia decline.2026-03-2889.4238.08-57.4%X sourceMirror
SYAAFMentioned / watchSYAAFDormantLow convictionChinese critical minerals export control chokepoints present Western beneficiary opportunities across multiple materials including tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, and graphite.2026-01-260.2260.075-66.8%X sourceMirror
SYKMentioned / watchSYKDormantLow convictionPiers Morgan's femur fracture may lead to increased revenue for orthopedic device manufacturers SYK and ZBH due to demand for fixation products.2026-01-18359.61305.09-15.2%X sourceMirror
TECKMentioned / watchTECKDormantLow convictionChinese critical minerals export control chokepoints present Western beneficiary opportunities across multiple materials including tungsten, indium, bismuth, tellurium, molybdenum, lithium, antimony, gallium, germanium, and graphite.2026-01-2654.7566.16+20.8%X sourceMirror
TELMentioned / watchTELDormantLow convictionThese companies supply high purity copper, copper-tungsten, and copper infrastructure for directed energy weapons (like those from $LASR).2026-01-23223.84213.41-4.7%X sourceMirror
TTMIMentioned / watchTTMIDormantLow convictionIdentifies winners in optical transceiver PCB bottleneck (SANM, TTMI) and argues laser chokepoints (LITE, SIVE, MTSI, COHR) are more compelling for structural re-rating.2025-12-0266.75173.72+160.3%X sourceMirror
UVIXMentioned / watchUVIXDormantLow convictionPortfolio designed to profit from a doomsday scenario involving US ground troops in Iran and Iranian retaliation, with specific positions betting on financial crisis, oil spike, tech crash, Lucid collapse, volatility, and Nvidia decline.2026-03-2810.693.83-64.2%X sourceMirror
VGPMentioned / watchVGPDormantLow convictionVGP is inferred to be a supplier for Tesla's Optimus robot per Citron research, positioning it to benefit from Tesla's robotics vertical.2026-01-16price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
WWRMentioned / watchWWRDormantLow convictionChina expands rare earths restrictions, potentially benefiting battery material suppliers WWR (graphite) and DFLI (lithium).2025-10-101.980.56-71.7%X sourceMirror
ZBHMentioned / watchZBHDormantLow convictionPiers Morgan's femur fracture may lead to increased revenue for orthopedic device manufacturers SYK and ZBH due to demand for fixation products.2026-01-1886.882.33-5.1%X sourceMirror
ASSTCaution / negativeASSTDormantHigh convictionThe author warns against $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST due to excessive dilution from ATMs, leading to significant losses for retail investors.2026-02-178.1817.67+116.0%X sourceMirror
BKKTCaution / negativeBKKTDormantHigh convictionThe author warns against $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST due to excessive dilution from ATMs, leading to significant losses for retail investors.2025-07-0318.1110.87-40.0%X sourceMirror
FISVCaution / negativeFISVDormantHigh convictionA comprehensive set of stock ratings for 2026, focusing on recovery plays from tax-loss harvesting and sector tailwinds in AI, semiconductors, data centers, and defense, while avoiding overvalued quantum and retail names.2026-01-0265.5956.56-13.8%X sourceMirror
SOITECCaution / negativeSOI.PADormantHigh convictionAVGO CEO's comments delaying CPO are misinterpreted; CPO delay extends life of pluggable transceivers, bullish for AAOI, bearish for Soitec.2026-03-1151.3177.55+246.1%X sourceMirror
TSSICaution / negativeTSSIDormantHigh convictionA comprehensive set of stock ratings for 2026, focusing on recovery plays from tax-loss harvesting and sector tailwinds in AI, semiconductors, data centers, and defense, while avoiding overvalued quantum and retail names.2025-07-0328.0916.48-41.3%X sourceMirror
LWLGCaution / negativeLWLGOpenMedium convictionNo-revenue R&D partnership between LWLG and TSEM with massive dilution vote from 45m to 95m shares in 2-3 weeks. Author is negative on LWLG due to dilution and lack of revenue.2026-03-127.0810.86+53.4%X sourceMirror
MTSICaution / negativeMTSIOpenMedium convictionLong-term bullish on MTSI due to involvement as an investor and clearing debt, with 45M locked up indicating stability; short-term bearish risk from arbitrageurs in convertible note offering.2026-01-10197.55364.64+84.6%X sourceMirror
AKAMCaution / negativeAKAMDormantMedium convictionOverview of 10 thematic investments for 2026, focusing on evolution, disruption, and bottlenecks in soft robotics, silicon photonics (InP bottleneck), glass substrates, money movement (disruption to card networks), AI cloud layers, LLM cybersecurity, LEO space infrastructure, consumer agentic workflows, distributed computing latency, and copper interconnect life extension. Expresses bullish views on specific companies and bearish on incumbent payment networks Visa and Bank of America.2026-01-0185.1149.54+75.7%X sourceMirror
CORZCaution / negativeCORZDormantMedium convictionElon Musk's $134B lawsuit against OpenAI poses downside risk to AI stocks levered to OpenAI (AMD, CRWV, ORCL, MSFT, APLD, CORZ, RIOT) in worst-case scenario, but author expects middle ground with a large fine and MSFT stepping in, limiting contagion.2025-11-0222.926.85+17.2%X sourceMirror
DGXXCaution / negativeDGXXDormantMedium convictionDGXX is rated D tier due to unsecured revenue, lack of anchor tenant, execution risk from being a microcap with little HPC history, and prior dilution.2025-10-285.297.81+47.6%X sourceMirror
ETHCaution / negativeETHDormantMedium convictionBullish on Ethereum again at $1.6k-2.2k after being bearish at $3-4K, but overall market sentiment is slightly bearish due to Iran tensions.2025-09-1442.3219.14-54.8%X sourceMirror
PATHCaution / negativePATHDormantMedium convictionOverview of 10 thematic investments for 2026, focusing on evolution, disruption, and bottlenecks in soft robotics, silicon photonics (InP bottleneck), glass substrates, money movement (disruption to card networks), AI cloud layers, LLM cybersecurity, LEO space infrastructure, consumer agentic workflows, distributed computing latency, and copper interconnect life extension. Expresses bullish views on specific companies and bearish on incumbent payment networks Visa and Bank of America.2026-01-0115.8811.72-26.2%X sourceMirror
PLSRCaution / negativePLSRDormantMedium convictionWarns against investing in $PLSR due to unknown helium-3 volume, high cost of separation (no commercial technology exists at scale), and potential dilution from capital raises.2026-01-18price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
QLCMCaution / negativeQLCMDormantMedium convictionBearish on ARM and Qualcomm. For ARM, personal bias towards RISC-V. For Qualcomm, sees Mediatek as better long-term due to high-growth ASIC arm with GOOGL.2025-11-25price unavailableprice unavailablen/aX sourceMirror
RIOTCaution / negativeRIOTDormantMedium convictionShort-term bearish on IREN due to ATM dilution hurting existing shareholders; long-term potential if ATM is filled, but better to wait. RIOT, WULF, NBIS are structurally better positioned and likely to outperform IREN by 2027.2025-09-0313.4527.11+101.6%X sourceMirror
SOFICaution / negativeSOFIDormantMedium convictionOverview of 10 thematic investments for 2026, focusing on evolution, disruption, and bottlenecks in soft robotics, silicon photonics (InP bottleneck), glass substrates, money movement (disruption to card networks), AI cloud layers, LLM cybersecurity, LEO space infrastructure, consumer agentic workflows, distributed computing latency, and copper interconnect life extension. Expresses bullish views on specific companies and bearish on incumbent payment networks Visa and Bank of America.2025-09-1828.1118.22-35.2%X sourceMirror
SPRBCaution / negativeSPRBDormantMedium convictionPost presents multiple bullish theses on NBIS, AMZN, META, SNAP, RDDT, SPRB, RKLB, AMD, TSM, ASML, BTC, LTC, VIRT, with a bearish view on CRWV. Key themes: NBIS dip buy, Mag7 catchup, recovery plays, speculative SPRB, hold RKLB, AMD/OpenAI deal boosting semis, gold signaling BTC, LTC ETF, and VIRT as hedge. Risks include dilution for SPRB and minimal NVDA moat dent.2025-10-07182.6051.27-71.9%X sourceMirror
ULBICaution / negativeULBIDormantMedium convictionULBI has high debt and accrued expenses relative to cash, and low gross margin, indicating potential dilution; likely stay away.2026-01-126.267.25+15.8%X sourceMirror
VELOCaution / negativeVELODormantMedium convictionHighlights dilution risk from $500M ATM/warrants shelf relative to $311M market cap, despite recent government contracts. Calls the structure predatory and a material risk for long holders.2026-01-2412.8724.01+86.6%X sourceMirror
WULFCaution / negativeWULFDormantMedium convictionShort-term bearish on IREN due to ATM dilution hurting existing shareholders; long-term potential if ATM is filled, but better to wait. RIOT, WULF, NBIS are structurally better positioned and likely to outperform IREN by 2027.2025-09-2811.625.56+120.3%X sourceMirror
XRPCaution / negativeXRPDormantMedium convictionOverview of 10 thematic investments for 2026, focusing on evolution, disruption, and bottlenecks in soft robotics, silicon photonics (InP bottleneck), glass substrates, money movement (disruption to card networks), AI cloud layers, LLM cybersecurity, LEO space infrastructure, consumer agentic workflows, distributed computing latency, and copper interconnect life extension. Expresses bullish views on specific companies and bearish on incumbent payment networks Visa and Bank of America.2026-01-0122.214.76-33.5%X sourceMirror
DAVECaution / negativeDAVEDormantLow convictionBearish on MQ due to singular dependency on Square (Cash App) and risk of Square launching own card offerings; bullish on DAVE but lacks detail.2025-09-17218.69282.56+29.2%X sourceMirror
MQCaution / negativeMQDormantLow convictionBearish on MQ due to singular dependency on Square (Cash App) and risk of Square launching own card offerings; bullish on DAVE but lacks detail.2025-10-304.444.06-8.6%X sourceMirror
SIDUCaution / negativeSIDUDormantLow conviction$$SIDU is building satellites for detecting hypersonic missiles for the Golden Dome program, but the stock is questionable due to dilution and unprofitability.2026-01-133.114.91+57.9%X sourceMirror

Methodology & Footnotes

All raw mention and stance classifications are parsed from FollowSerenity's open structured lifecycles through 2026-05-31. Historical price tracking utilizes daily closes from Yahoo Finance. All content is compiled solely for research and analytical visualization and is not financial endorsement or portfolio trading advice.